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Democratic Primaries

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Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
Fri Jan 17, 2020, 08:57 PM Jan 2020

Predictions: Who will win the Iowa Caucuses? [View all]

Two weeks from now, Iowans will caucus. Who will win?

Fivethirtyeight projects a 1/3 chance of Joe winning the most delegates, and a 3/10 chance of Bernie winning them. The initial projection is a tie.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/


17 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Unlimited
Bernie
6 (35%)
Elizabeth
1 (6%)
Pete
3 (18%)
Joe
7 (41%)
Amy
0 (0%)
Tom
0 (0%)
Deval
0 (0%)
The other billionaire
0 (0%)
Somebody else
0 (0%)
Michael
0 (0%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I say a close one between Biden and Warren RandySF Jan 2020 #1
I think it'll be close regardless...similar to 2016. Drunken Irishman Jan 2020 #2
Your link goes to the NH forecast. TwilightZone Jan 2020 #3
Thanks! Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #4
I think that Joe pulls it out. Blue_true Jan 2020 #5
Which Win? judeling Jan 2020 #6
Good analysis! Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #7
Mayor Pete, Warren, Bernie, and Joe are all within the M.O.E. Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2020 #8
The Debate Dust up judeling Jan 2020 #9
It doesn't matter, really. MineralMan Jan 2020 #10
The winner might not be the one who gets the most delegates karynnj Jan 2020 #11
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