Democratic Primaries

still_one

(92,303 posts)

27. Fox new polling in general has is pretty good record, unlike their news reporting. That being said

Sun Mar 24, 2019, 12:28 PM

Mar 2019

Last edited Sun Mar 24, 2019, 01:31 PM - Edit history (1)

national polls mean very little in both the primaries and general elections. Candidates are determined on a state by state basis through delegates and the electoral college.

It is also way too early for these polls to have much significance in my opinion. After the debates, and people get more acquainted with the candidates I think they have more relevance, but at this stage I wouldn't hold to much weight on them. A lot of things can happen between now and then

http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2018/05/nate-silvers-new-pollster-ratings-are-here.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

A rated FOX NEWS Poll * Biden 31 Sanders 23 Harris 8% Beto 8% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 OP

Nice! Thekaspervote Mar 2019 #1

Consistent. R B Garr Mar 2019 #2

LMFAO!! Now some are giving credence to a Fox poll!! Will wonders never cease?! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #3

Ecological fallacy DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #5

Riiiight... so how did 538 do in predicting the last presidential election?? InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #11

We aren't discussing 538's forecasts. * DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #14

Ohhh, so if their forecasts were questionable, we should trust their A-rating of Fox?! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #16

Forecasts are prospective. Reviews are retrospective. * DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #18

Yeah, that's what I said, riiight... nice try though. I said I don't trust Fox polling... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #20

You said his work was "questionable" DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #22

Yes, I said 538's prediction was questionable... that's true, given how far off it was. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #28

538's prediction wasn't off. TwilightZone Mar 2019 #47

The best projection I saw was 71% Hillary, but could 538 have modified their results from that? Sure InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #52

71% chance of winning, not 71% of the vote TwilightZone Mar 2019 #66

How did the Bernie supporters do versus the polls in predicting the last primary? DanTex Mar 2019 #24

We were talking about 538... sorry if I hit a nerve, but try to stay on topic. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #41

Oh, I remember Berners acting like they could tell everyone else what the topic should be. DanTex Mar 2019 #73

Hillary DID win by miles. EC/hacking are not fatored in polls robbedvoter Mar 2019 #26

Energetic? MyNameGoesHere Mar 2019 #40

Totally irrelevant. It's not 538's poll, it's a poll that 538 rates "A", among the top around. George II Mar 2019 #54

IKR? shanny Mar 2019 #7

Ecological fallacy (REDUX) DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #9

LOL! R B Garr Mar 2019 #8

I don't like the results so they must be apocryphal. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #10

Yayyy... go Fox!!! But seriously, no, I don't trust that corrupt enterprise... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #12

I don't trust FOX. I trust Nate Silver, a lot. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #15

Listen, it's no big deal... as I've said, I give Uncle Joe his due as the obvious frontrunner... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #17

Right, and others, too. .... George II Mar 2019 #55

I've given Biden his due... I know you'll never do the same for Bernie, but that's okay. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #57

This message was self-deleted by its author InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #58

+1, Yes, the desperation over a legit poll is obvious. R B Garr Mar 2019 #35

Desperation over a FUX poll?! LMFAO!! Hardly... good try though!! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #59

All the poll results are consistent, so that shoots your excuses down!!!!!!!!! R B Garr Mar 2019 #67

Fox new polling in general has is pretty good record, unlike their news reporting. That being said still_one Mar 2019 #27

OK, you keep your faith in Fox polling. I don't trust those right-wing FUX as far as I can throw 'em InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #29

It isn't me who has faith in them, it is Nate Silver. I don't give much credence in national polls still_one Mar 2019 #34

That's fine, my point still stands. Fuck FUX... don't trust 'em, never will!! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #60

Sure, and with good reason still_one Mar 2019 #69

And if this poll is entirely consistent with other recent polls?? Kahuna7 Mar 2019 #37

Sanders' support has peaked. If anything changes it'll be a loss of those supporters he already has. George II Mar 2019 #53

Riiiiiiight!! Okay, that was funny!! And Beto? You're gonna tell me he's soarin to new heights InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #61

To borrow a phrase from three years ago, and one we are still hearing from a certain camp.... George II Mar 2019 #62

If Beto succeeds, I'll be the 1st to congratulate him!! I'm sure you'll feel the same way for Bernie InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #64

Lol! Cha Mar 2019 #71

any polling right now qazplm135 Mar 2019 #4

For candidates with near universal name recognition it shows their strength at this moment in time DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #6

Bernie has universal name recognition?! And here, all this time, I thought... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #13

that's a pretty silly response qazplm135 Mar 2019 #31

Par for the course. BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #44

which is meaningless qazplm135 Mar 2019 #30

It has some meaning. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2019 #32

given his name recognition qazplm135 Mar 2019 #33

Impressive. ucrdem Mar 2019 #19

Famous last words... head to head, progressive vs. centrist, Bernie is vastly the superior candidate InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #21

Some think so, that's clear. ucrdem Mar 2019 #23

Yup & it's really ok to disagree. I promise not to hold it against you or any other Biden supporter. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #63

Vastly superior in whose eyes? Remember, the Democratic Party is still dominated by "centrists". George II Mar 2019 #56

LOL!! Have you seen where the American people stand?! Poll after poll shows vast support InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #68

Not entirely. People like the concepts being presented, none of which are new and none of which.... George II Mar 2019 #70

Buttigieg at 1% Buzz Lightyear Mar 2019 #25

Can't be the case. BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #39

He's now in third in Iowa. TwilightZone Mar 2019 #48

Enjoy the run. BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #49

I haven't chosen a candidate. TwilightZone Mar 2019 #50

my point is his support inside DU doesn't mirror his support outside it. BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #51

PB certainly has got my attention... what's with all the negativity and snarky InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #65

Informative BlueFlorida Mar 2019 #36

I can't help but notice the disparity between Mayor Pete's numbers on DU BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #38

He is still a unknown I notice trying to go on marlakay Mar 2019 #42

I don't think he will win a single caucus or primary. BannonsLiver Mar 2019 #43

I think he has great ideas and could do a great marlakay Mar 2019 #45

Biden's "official" entry should boost his numbers considerably. nt oasis Mar 2019 #46

Fine, but what is he waiting for? TexasBushwhacker Mar 2019 #74

Emerson poll from March 19th.. Cha Mar 2019 #72

The solid judgement of Paul Krugman holds plenty weight w/me. oasis Mar 2019 #75

You're Welcome, oasis. Cha Mar 2019 #77

Candidate support is fluid right now. RandySF Mar 2019 #76