Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: I am posting two Electoral College maps;one we win,the other we don't. (poll) [View all]karynnj
(59,508 posts)The best way to compare them is a comparison of the years they overlapped in the Senate -- rather than life time averages.
You need some backup to actually defend the assertion that someone more to the left would lose against Trump. While it may be true, just saying that - as you have - does not make a case for it.
There were many postulated reasons why HRC lost - ranging from her own unpopularity even if it was caused by RW/Russian attacks to her being a woman to her being seen as less likely than Trump to help the white Reagan/Trump Democrats who had otherwise voted for Democrats. Add that getting the "third" term is usually tougher.
With each candidate, you could argue that THEY, unlike HRC, would have won. (Note this ignores that after 3 years of Trump, I would bet HRC would win Michigan.) Warren has very little of the baggage that HRC had, she even more than Biden, had a lower middle class background in Oklahoma.
Judging from some comments on Michigan, the issue was NOT traditional right and left, but free trade deals or protectionism. This would explain Sanders' appeal. That must be showing up in internal polls as I have yet to hear 2020 candidates speak of TPP with tweaks to make it better.
Note that all this is true of PA and WI.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden