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In reply to the discussion: China Cases Top 20,000; U.S. Braces for Pandemic: Virus Update [View all]Ms. Toad
(34,075 posts)12. No it's not.
at 2+%, it is 15-20 times as lethal as the common flu's average .13% - and that is calculated using the total dead/total confirmed cases (even though about 88% of those have not been infected recently enough to cause death.
In other words, the actual death rate is likey to be even higher once the 18,000 infected since a week ago Saturday have time enough to become sick enough to die.
The estimates I've seen from people who track such things it that it is likely to settle at around 4% (~30 times as deadly as the common flu).
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China Cases Top 20,000; U.S. Braces for Pandemic: Virus Update [View all]
left-of-center2012
Feb 2020
OP
The US is preparing for the Pandemic by knocking 100's of thousands off Medicaid. nt
yaesu
Feb 2020
#2
I've just been comparing the parentage of deaths of know cases to past epidemics/pandemics
yaesu
Feb 2020
#11
you will find all kinds of percentages from all kinds of sites so WHO really knows, pun intended. nt
yaesu
Feb 2020
#46
If we have the correct data. I think they have been hiding the true death rate for economic reasons
Pisces
Feb 2020
#44
So does that mean its about a 1.2% death rate rather than the 3% we were hearing?
cstanleytech
Feb 2020
#8
So we essentially have to hope that the Chinese and other governments are on the ball and
cstanleytech
Feb 2020
#23
What you have to remember is that China has been asked to use different criteria by the WHO.
58Sunliner
Feb 2020
#29
Hopefully natural selection does its thing and the surviving strains of the virus are less lethal.
roamer65
Feb 2020
#26
Well who knows what the real number of infected people is. I think it might be much higher.
58Sunliner
Feb 2020
#28
If you are taking an ARB (Angiotensin Receptor Blocker) for high blood pressure...
roamer65
Feb 2020
#31