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wiley

wiley's Journal
wiley's Journal
March 12, 2020

Joe Biden takes huge lead in Washington State. Crushing Defeat for Sanders

It's the end of the road for Sanders.

From Nate Silver
@NateSilver538

You can lose Texas and still have a winning Democratic coalition. You can lose Michigan and still have a winning coalition. You can lose Washington state and still have a winning Democratic coalition. But you sure as hell can't lose all three of them.

Haven't looked at *every* county in Washington but I've looked at a lot:

On average, Biden is doing 22-24% better in new returns than in the ones released last night (depending on how you weight the average). And Bernie is doing 5-7% better.

So that's a net swing of ~17% toward Biden. If ~45% of returns were not counted on election night, Biden would eventually win Washington by 7 or 8 points.

It's hard to imagine Sanders hanging on in Washington with this big a Biden margin in the new wave of votes.
Joe Biden takes the lead in Washington state.

He carries the first wave of new votes from King County (Seattle area) 58 to 37. Sanders led the initial King County count.

https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/President-Democratic-Party_ByCounty.html
March 7, 2020

Spoil your Michigan ballot by Mon. March 9th to 4PM. Otherwise, vote by absentee where you can now.

The number of people that have requested absentee ballots in Michigan was 800,000 in 2020.

That's double the number that were requested in 2016.

If you returned your ballot already it's not too late to spoil it. What's that mean?

You can have your local clerk retrieve your ballot after signing a request to get a new ballot, spoiling your previous ballot.

Fill your new ballot out and leave it with the clerk. You have up to 4PM this Monday, March 9 to do this.

As of last Monday, the day before Super Tuesday when Biden hauled in a massive amount of delegate hauls by winning in at least 10 out of 14 states, 3,894 voters had spoiled their absentee ballots.

That was also before a new poll came out today showing Biden 16 points in the lead.

Former U.S. Sen. John Kerry, U.S. Sen. Tom Carper of Delaware, Rep. G.K. Butterfield of North Carolina will campaign on behalf of Biden. Senator Amy Klobuchar is also continuing to do so this Saturday. Not sure who else will do so.

Bernie canceled a racial justice rally in Mississippi today to campaign in MI today. He will most likely focus all is efforts in the coming days on that state.

A huge announcement from the Biden campaign is coming very soon as well. A huge national Union? A potential running mate? Maybe a woman that speaks for tens of million women throughout the country? Or perhaps a very, very prominent person of color?





February 15, 2020

How do I make a post?

I keep getting asked to serve on some type of jury. I think before I answer that I should know how to actually make a post. Amirite? 🤘🏾

July 16, 2019

Really wish at least a dozen would drop out, stop wasting money

and campaign for Senate, Governor, House and state legislative races. The latter are the absolutely most important and would truly benefit from those with a "celebrity" status.

October 21, 2018

Oh Yes. A kitten.

August 9, 2018

www.postcardstovoters.org

Congraulations to Portland for winning the 2018 Restaurant City of the year, with good reason. I have a few friends in Maine that have little time ut that do this! Pass it on? www.postcardstovoters.org

April 14, 2018

Anybody get through 35 radiation treatments for tongue/palate SCC HPV-16 type?

Treatment 17. They keep telling me that side effects will get worse. Just to warn me. This already sucks very, very badly. Uncontrollable mouth sores that blister, pop and bleed. The pain is so bad I scream and am constantly crying. I pull thick rope like threads of blood and mucous out of my throat because I can't spit. They say it's all normal.

have no idea how anyone gets through this. Would have been nice if the told me NOT to use Aquaphor hours before treatment. Cause a serious rash and INCREASED radiation intake. I'm going through a bottle of Lidocaine daily, and docs said triple the pain meds. I can't even swallow water. So after each treatment they give me an IV and a two hour water infusion through the tube.

Not sure I will get through four more weeks of this. I can't sleep either. Or think!

Medicare approved my formula and syringes though! I add several tablespoons of avocado oil to and four TB of honey (not raw) to each can to get them to 950 calories each. 325 + 240 + 390 Mix really welleven warm up if necessarythen infuse slowly over a 45 minute period. The 500 mil warm water.

This week I'm going to nail the oncologists on exactly what criteria he uses to say I'm responding well.

October 27, 2017

14 years on.

I think it's been 14 years. But I saved all my posts from DU in a separate journal and started reading some. If I had been removed from all interaction since then I would not believe what is going on in this country. I would not believe that this is the same country I was born in, and grew up in. And as someone that was really involved in developing new applications for the Internet I would never have believed that the impact of social networking apps would be so corrosive.

What hasn't changed at all, though, is what Republicans believe and often say, and what they are wiling to do to the truth and our Democracy to get power. This may be hard to believe but there was a time when Chuck Grassley, for example, would have never have associated with someone that actually was trying to collude with the Russians against Hillary Clinton - or any American.

It's tiring to follow. The pace is dizzying and tiresome. I lived through the Nixon era. This is so much worse and absolutely evil. Responding on social media may let people believe that we have done or accomplished something. I'm worried that unlike before once something falls off the media radar that the public will just forget. We are currently being set up to believe that the Russia investigation into Trump's crimes against this country and our Democracy never happened.

14 years ago you still hit the streets. We need to do that in every CD in every state now in response to the tax fraud scam that Republicans are calling a bill. The cuts in Medicaid and Medicare alone will lead to deaths and enormous suffering. And no middle class or working person will ever get anything from it. Poor people will suffer greatly. This is the repeal of Obamacare, the death of Medicaid, severe damage to Medicare and an outright assault on everyone except the white, male 1% in this country.

We need to hit the streets again. I'll bring my cane this time around.

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