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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:35 AM
Original message
Most independent voters would prefer Palin as president over Obama
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 07:35 AM by NNN0LHI
http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/09/20/2417027/poll-finds-obama-losing-ground.html

Poll finds Obama losing ground to Republicans
McClatchy Newspapers

Posted on Tuesday, 09.20.11

WASHINGTON -- Look out President Barack Obama. Even Sarah Palin's gaining on you.

A new McClatchy-Marist poll finds that Obama looks increasingly vulnerable in next year's election, with a majority of voters believing he'll lose to any Republican, a solid plurality saying they'll definitely vote against him and most potential Republican challengers gaining on him.

Even in potential matchups where he leads, Obama in most cases has lost ground to the Republican.

The biggest gain came for Palin, the former Alaska governor who hasn't yet announced whether she'll jump into the fast-changing race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

After trailing Obama by more than 20 percentage points in polls all year, the new national survey, taken Sept. 13-14, found Palin trailing the president by just 5 points, 49-44 percent. The key reason: She now leads Obama among independents, a sharp turnaround.


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Davis_X_Machina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:40 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thank god there's so few independent voters. n/t
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LeftofObama Donating Member (158 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:40 AM
Response to Original message
2. I call BULLS**T! N/T
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Greybnk48 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:33 AM
Response to Reply #2
31. I second that. Complete and utter B*llsh*t. n/t
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:40 AM
Response to Original message
3. The poll
also indicated that Giuliani is the only Republican who could win.

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newspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 01:32 PM
Response to Reply #3
52. you mean "cheating" giulliani
the giuliani who was rumored to have his love nest in one of the WTC buildings? The giuiiani who was allegedly advised that the emergency center should be some place other than the WTC buildings? The giuliani who thought school uniforms were more important than bricks falling on students' heads? And we won't talk about the gestapo police tactics under giuliani.

Yeah, a hell of a pick for a presidential candidate.
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Fumesucker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
4. Which is why Obama needs to go hard right to capture those voters..
:eyes:

Who the fuck else are the sane among us gonna vote for, eh?

:banghead:

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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:08 AM
Response to Reply #4
11. No, he just needs a boob job. nt
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Fumesucker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:21 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. Nah, he's got Geithner and Immelt..
That ought to be a big enough pair of boobs for anyone.
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LeftishBrit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
5. Then most independents are as thick as two short planks.
Palin???????
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GoCubsGo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:46 AM
Response to Original message
6. Most independent voters will change their minds a thousand times before election day.
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:46 AM
Response to Original message
7. If this poll is correct..
and 53% of independents "definitely plan to vote against him" It not only means he can't win, but it shows his move to the right has been a dismal failure....


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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:02 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. It means the constant Obama bashing is having its desired effect
Trying to read more into than that is just nonsense.

Don
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:04 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Yeah...I'm sure the state of the economy
has absolutely nothing to do with it..:eyes:
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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:10 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. That isn't the case for anyone who does their critical thinking from above the waist
I am not all that smart and I realize Obama was just a kid when this economy began its downfall during the two Reagan administrations.

Amazing how some supposedly smart and educated people can't figure that out for themselves.

Isn't it?

Don
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:34 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. Like it or not, fair or not..
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 08:38 AM by Upton
most voters don't spend their time on partisan political boards dissecting and evaluating the reasons for the downturn in the economy.

They look to the man at the top...and considering no president since at least WW II, has ever been reelected with unemployment figures anywhere near where they stand now, one can only conclude Obama chances in 2012 are on real shaky ground..
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Fumesucker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #13
17. I'm reminded of the woman who told Adlai Stevenson he had the vote of every thinking person..
His reply?

"That is not enough madam, we need a majority."

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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:24 AM
Response to Reply #17
30. LOL
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:52 AM
Response to Reply #17
37. +
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newspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #7
49. so, some who say they are independent looks to be libertarian
and they do love their corporate masters and love being screwed. It also seems they have a very short term memory, especially when it comes to little boots and darth cheney. I guess they think the repugs can do the same policies over and over again, except worse this time and they'll get a different result. Oh, it will be different--most of americans will probably be living in poverty while the wealthy take it all--those living if they don't eat any tainted food or drink poisoned water.
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mwb970 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 07:54 AM
Response to Original message
8. This just seems impossible to me.
Not only is Palin manifestly unqualified to be president of anything, she has a 70% disapproval rating nationally and her popularity continues to droop. I can't picture any "independent" wanting to be led by the Wasilla Grifter.
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:26 AM
Response to Reply #8
21. Impossible AND implausible
I wonder if this finding can and will be replicated in future surveys. My guess is no. Unfortunately, too, right now, all we're getting fed is a steady stream of right-wing propaganda, as well pretty much nothing other than a diet of negative anti-Obama "hit pieces".
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:56 AM
Response to Reply #8
26. It seems since 2008 it has been common practice for the most rabid republicans to go independent
I think this was their way of trying to distance themselves from the obvious failures of the Bush administration. Anyway, all the asshole republicans I knew dumped him and claimed he was actually a Liberal. Then they started the teabagging bullshit. It works well for them too, because when they call themselves independents the media actually gives a shit about their wingnut kookery.
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mwb970 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #26
53. They should start saying "self-described independents". /nt
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Modern_Matthew Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:08 AM
Response to Original message
12. Then some people shouldn't be allowed to vote...
Damn straight I said it.
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stuntcat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:08 AM
Response to Reply #12
27. ..
There ARE some wonderful humans.. really, I've seen them.. but as a mass humanity fails so bad. It's happened over and over in history and now our mass-fails are just getting bigger, having larger effects.

Looking around at my fellow Americans (and I grew up in the South) (AND once in a while I turn on the boob-tube to see what kind of commercials our corporations are paying to show us) I am not afraid to say it out loud: I wish there was some type of test for taking part in making decisions about EVERYONE'S future.

There, I said it.
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 08:23 AM
Response to Original message
15. Most polls are designed to shape opinion, not measure it. n/t
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:03 AM
Response to Original message
18. Who are these "independent" voters anyway and what the hell do they want/believe?
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 09:04 AM by Proud Liberal Dem
Does anybody know? If we have gotten to the point where people are ready to vote ANY Republican into office (i.e. Palin, Perry, Romney, et. al), then our country really is severely f****d up! :banghead: Do these people seriously believe that they moment they put one of these loons into office and medicare/social security are privatized, social spending is reduced to practically zero, regulations are stripped/unenforced, health care reform is repealed, financial reform is repealed, the Bush tax cuts are made permanent, etc., the country is going to suddenly be fixed (boy, will they look stupid the day after) and usher in a new golden age? :eyes:

The constant polling, bashing, and drumbeat of negative stories, unfortunately seems to be having its intended effect. :puke:
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:05 AM
Response to Original message
19. Which is why he should concentrate on them
and not us lefties.

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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:07 AM
Response to Original message
20. Before getting worked up about this...
These are low information,non politically active voters paying limited attenion to an election a year away, and are responding to an abstract impression of Sarah Palin as opposed to the idiot candidate she would quickly become if she announced.
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HappyMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
22. 'Independents' slugging republiCON kool-aid - film at 11! nt
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Whisp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:36 AM
Response to Original message
23. that is really hard to believe
but stranger things have happened before with (some) independents.

they were humming and hawing about McCain vs. Obama in '08. Gee golly wiz, I wonder which one? lol.

not such a bright crowd it seems.
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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:42 AM
Response to Original message
24. The "Independent Voter" catchall term is generally useless. Any time I have ever been
polled it's always,"Are you Dem, Repub, or Indy?" Never any room to declare myself as a Green. It's the same for other small parties, including some extremely right-leaning ones. Perhaps this particular poll called a ton of them this time?
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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #24
28. Maybe they don't list them all because there about 50 different political parties?
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 10:17 AM by NNN0LHI
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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:23 AM
Response to Reply #28
29. That's understandable, however I think it skewers the notion that Independent
voters are somehow situated in the middle between Dems and Repubs. We hear all the time about how candidates are going after those middle-of-the-road Independent voters. I'm not so sure they exist in the numbers that people think they do. :shrug:
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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #29
32. No one suggested that independents were made up of some monolithic liberal group
The independents I know personally come in all flavors.

From far right to far left to somewhere in the middle. Only common trait I have found in most of them is the notion that their "rugged individualism", will save them.

It won't by the way.

Don


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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #32
40. I wasn't saying that they are a monolithic liberal group. I was saying what you
were saying, which is that the category runs the gamut of the political spectrum, hence the reason why I am annoyed with the media always talking about the "moderate Indy voters" and how the politicians are always trying to get their vote. I don't see how we can tell how many moderate indy voters are actually out there when the pollsters insist on shoving Greens and Socialists alongside members of the John Birch society under the same catch-all label. It's just an imprecise way of measuring things, in my book. :)
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #32
45. It will keep our Karma bank far safer, however...
I am a registered Independent who refuses to be pigeonholed and I lean far to the left of Democrats, but always vote a straight Democratic ticket. My "rugged individualism" has and will continue to save me, thank you very much. :D Mostly as a means to shield my Karma bank from withdrawals due to hypocrisy.
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:59 AM
Response to Reply #29
39. I'm a registered Independent because I'm very far to the left of Democrats...
I've never supported or condoned the support of Independent candidates, and have never voted for anyone other than a Democrat.

I think broad brush assumptions suck.
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GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #39
41. Yea, broadbrush assumptions and imprecise polling both suck. :^(
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:15 AM
Response to Reply #41
46. The only polling I consider close to accurate...
Is exit polling.
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Blue_Tires Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:06 AM
Response to Reply #24
43. +1000
It's a very generic term, and the media always overhypes their importance in elections...

And people identify as 'independent' for hundreds of different reasons...Most of the ones I've known were either really republicans, but think the title makes them edgy, cool, or anti-establishment, or libertarians...
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 09:50 AM
Response to Original message
25. He has a record to defend, she doesn't.
The independents don't have the natural dislike of Palin, because they're stupid to be frank.
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:56 AM
Response to Reply #25
38. I've been a registered Independent for over a decade...
And a member of American Mensa for even longer.

I vote Democratic ticket all the way, and I have never supported or advocated the support of an Independent candidate... I'm an Independent because I am far, very, very far, to the left of the majority of Democrats and I don't feel it's right to be counted in that group.

Say again how we are stupid... I just love insults and condescension early in the morning. It smells almost as delicious as a long-suffering, unwashed track shoe.
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county worker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:40 AM
Response to Original message
33. Just what is it that a voter would prefer a republican to do over what they perceive Obama would do.
If this poll is correct than we really do have a majority of stupid ignorant voters in this country. My guess is that they are preparing us to accept a stolen election.
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Iggo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:41 AM
Response to Original message
34. Bullshit.
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:45 AM
Response to Original message
35. She's gained because she's been in hiding and hasn't opened her freaking mouth!
When she does again, she'll drop.
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 10:51 AM
Response to Original message
36. LOL!
Oh, the desperation!

:rofl:
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spanone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
42. i think the lamestream media is in love with sister sarah
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:17 AM
Response to Reply #42
47. She talks dirty to them...
Calls them names and such... they want to protect her (a sign of deep love and affection) even though she carries a rifle.
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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 11:07 AM
Response to Original message
44. That is a good indicator that, in general, independents are not all that bright. nt
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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 12:09 PM
Response to Original message
48. There are no independent voters.
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 12:09 PM by RagAss
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AsahinaKimi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
50. Are most Independent voters stupid?
Edited on Thu Sep-22-11 12:40 PM by AsahinaKimi
What the hell do any of the Republican candidates offer to bring to the Presidency that is of any significance? Other than perhaps that unspoken promise to bring the country to its knees. Answer: NOT. A. THING.
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bobthedrummer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
51. BULLSHIT! n/t
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hifiguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
54. BS on stilts and steroids
and in any case, "independent voter" is a term so mushy as to be meaningless.
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johnaries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
55. Hit piece - here's a link to the McClatcy site
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/09/20/124702/poll-obama-expected-to-lose-but.html

While most of the Republicans have gained on Obama, he still leads all of the announced candidates...
Obama is neck and neck with Romney, leading by 46-44. Obama had led by 5 points in August, 4 points in June, and 1 point in April. Romney now leads among independents, 44 percent to 40 percent.

Obama leads Perry by 50 percent to 41 percent. They split independents 43-43. Obama had led Perry by 19 points in August, as Perry was joining the campaign.

Obama leads Bachmann 53 percent to 40 percent. He had led her by 17 points in August, by 12 points in June.

Obama leads Palin by 49 percent to 44 percent. He led in August by 21 points, in June by 26 points, and in April by 22 points.


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Harmony Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-22-11 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
56. I know of no Independent voter that has a favorable opinion
of Palin.
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