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Anyone else thing it's going to be the Boehner plan?

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vi5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:19 AM
Original message
Anyone else thing it's going to be the Boehner plan?
Edited on Thu Jul-28-11 07:20 AM by vi5
I just get this feeling that at the last minute the GOP will get enough votes for the Boehner plan (likely by pulling in some Blue Dogs), then it will go to the Senate and because they don't want to be the ones who said no and let the default happen when the ball was in their court and it will be presented in the media that they could have prevented it by passing the Boehner bill, they will vote to pass it. And because Obama doesn't want the default on his headeither, he'll sign the Boehner plan.

I think right now we're all going on the assumption that the Senate won't pass it and even if they did Obama would veto it. But that is predicated ont he idea that because as it looks now it's not going to pass the house so we can all assume that in the abstract.

Maybe it's just my normal cynicism and pessimism but I just know that 2 things lead me to believe this 1) Democrats always go along to get along for what they perceive is the good of the country, even when that involves choosing the lesser of 2 evils (the Boehner plan over default) and 2) They are more concerned about the optics and the narrative than they are anything else. So it will be in their heads that this would be portrayed in the media that "The GOP voted to avoid default but Democrats/Obama refused!!!!
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no_hypocrisy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:20 AM
Response to Original message
1. I don't think the Senate will pass Boehner's bill.
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vi5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:37 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. So you think...
That if this bill gets to the Senate on Monday, and their choices are either pass this bad bill or let the default happen and send the economy into a tailspin that they will choose default? Or I should say that do you think that they won't be able to scare enough of the more conservative democrats to get the votes they need?

I'd like to think they were that disciplined, but I just don't think so.

Maybe I'm wrong. It's just a gut feeling anyway.
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no_hypocrisy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:47 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. No, the Senate won't vote to organically change this country by voting
Edited on Thu Jul-28-11 07:53 AM by no_hypocrisy
for permanent wealth redistribution in order to avoid default.

If the conditions attached to Boehner's bill was to convert this country from a constitutional republic into a theocracy, the Senate would not vote for it to prevent economic chaos.

IMO, once the Senate votes against Boehner's bill, the ball is back in the court of the House. If the House wants a bill to pass in the Senate, then the Senate should be consulted as far as what it would accept.

On edit: here you go
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x724515
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trumad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:25 AM
Response to Original message
2. DOA in the Senate.
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Maru Kitteh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
4. No, it wont.
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ladyfutura Donating Member (8 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:44 AM
Response to Original message
5. In My Opinion
It's always the Democrats have a plan, the Republicans refuse, the Democrats compromise, but the outcome is something nobody likes. The Republicans then blame the Democrats and Obama, even though they ruined it in the first place.
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JAnthony Donating Member (745 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:46 AM
Response to Original message
6. NO! Stupid doesn't sell in the Dem Senate.
And his bill in the House is going to have a difficult time to get 218 !

Great analysis on Boehner, the House, and his bill.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/vp/43920290#43920405

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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:48 AM
Response to Original message
8. Yes, but Reid and Boehner will fiddle around the edges to
give Democrats cover.

When Reid caved and did not put taxes in his plan,
the Republicans had won.

We do not have a Democratic Party. We just try
to make Republican Policies a little more bearable.

When we have a full fledged Banana Republic the Democrats
on the Hill will have enabled the Republicans in taking
this country down.
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 07:53 AM
Response to Original message
9. Harry Reid made a rather massive public show of saying it's dead
I just don't see how he goes on teevee with Durbin, Schumer, Murray and others and says Not one Democratic Senator will vote for this, then turns that around into a vote.

There was one troubling development last yesterday that may prove you right, however: Mikulski was on MSNBC and when asked about the Boehner plan, didn't quelch it outright, but said something about significant amendments. That worried me. But I really don't see how Reid walks back his clear declarations, honestly.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 08:02 AM
Response to Original message
10. No way, no how.
It's DOA. There are not enough GOP willing to tie their careers to that albatross, let alone Dems in the Senate. It's dead, Jim.
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 08:08 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Reid and Boehner wil "fix it".
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Liberalynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. That's what a guest on Keith said last night.
Edited on Thu Jul-28-11 08:23 AM by Liberalynn
That if the Boner plan makes it through the house, and Reid's plan passes the Senate somehow it will end up a reconciled bill which is a mix of the two plans. As in his words he said they have a lot of common ground.

YUCK!

All I can wish for at this point is SS and Medicare stay off the table with no binding commissions and that it lasts until next year, but I am not holding my breath.

I liked Lawrence O'Donnell's suggestion better that they just go back to a clean debt ceiling bill with a promise to argue out the deficit stuff later. But since they all ready rejected that plan once, I think he is dreaming.

The only thing positive I can see in this whole mess right now, is it highlighted the schisms and the utter craziness of the loon bat TP. On the other hand, IMHO, the majority of the U.S. public has very short memories and will forget all this by election time next year, and part of the percentage that remains is just as dense and loony as the TP's themselves.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. Boehner's current proposal? No, they won't.
Nothing they come up with which could pass with the Teabaggers in the House will pass the Senate. The fact remains if the GOP cannot get their Teabaggers under control, America is going to be screwed and so are all the politicians who let this happen. Boehner is quite possibly the worst Speaker of the House ever.
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 08:20 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. Boehner had to "fix it" rightward for his lunatic fringe
There's no amendments the Dems could add that would be acceptable to the GOP House. It's dead as dead can be.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 09:01 AM
Response to Original message
15. I don't think it will be any plan.
Not unless it's the Amendment-14 Plan.
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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 09:03 AM
Response to Original message
16. Your last sentence is correct. It's all about message now and the GOP with media help will
place all the blame on the President and the rest of the Democrats.
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RT Atlanta Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 10:16 AM
Response to Reply #16
18. I agree with your assessment
and the last sentence. For those reasons, it could be Boner's plan that get's passed.

Wouldnt this mean the country is strapped over the barrel again in 6 mos?
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bullwinkle428 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-28-11 10:12 AM
Response to Original message
17. Rep. Peter Welch (D-VT) just said that there could be a hybrid version
of the Reid and Boner bills cobbled together through reconciliation (in an interview on Stephanie Miller's show), so the "dead in the water" comments may be a bit premature.
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