Staten Island's state Sen. Andrew Lanza to vote against gay marriage

[oberliner]

Lanza (R-Staten Island) released the following statement this evening:


After exhaustive consideration of the issue of same-sex marriage during which I have listened to thousands of good and decent people on both sides of the issue, consulted numerous writings, done considerable soul searching and perhaps, most importantly, listened to the people I represent on Staten Island, I have decided to vote no.

http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2011/06/staten_islands_state_sen_andre_2.html

Are the votes there for this to pass?

[RandySF]

1. From Twitter

maghabepolitico maggie haberman
by benpolitico
A GOP operative tells me he believes the votes are there but things have been such a mess with the GOP senate conference it's hard to say

[Unvanguard]

2. We don't need him. Either of Grisanti or Saland will do. n/t

[RandySF]

3. Another tweet

fivethirtyeight Nate Silver
Per @maghabepolitico, rumors that other votes thought to be no's on NY marriage vote may be in play.

[Unvanguard]

5. No idea who that means specifically, but some people are saying that they have 34-35.

So Grisanti, Saland, and more.

[Chovexani]

4. Rumors have been flying fast and furious

Some said the final tally will be as high as 34 in favor. Lanza's not needed, many more who are on the fence have not tipped their hands yet. The buzz in the capital is positive for equality.

[RandySF]

6. I'm reading the same

All the tweets from people who I would think know, indicate that it's going to pass.

[HockeyMom]

7. Assembly passed the amendments 82-48

according to a PFLG email I just got. What the hell is wrong with these stupid REPUKES?

[HockeyMom]

8. Staten Island is very conservative

and Republican. Direct of opposite of the rest of the City. Not surprising.