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monmouth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 09:45 AM
Original message
New Poll Shows Six Point Jump
On November 2, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute released a new national presidential poll that places President Obama’s approval rating at 47 percent – up six points from last month’s Quinnipiac poll. The poll also had him at least five points ahead of all the Republican primary contenders, and indicated 49 percent of respondents think the president deserves re-election, up from 42 percent last month. The poll results appear to be positive news for President Obama, but demographic data shows that Democrats were sampled more than Republicans by a 13 point spread. This calls into question how random sampling could appear to favor one party over another, and whether the Obama administration should be confident in embracing the poll results.

Presidential Approval Poll Analysis

Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,294 registered voters via random phone calls to landlines and cell phones between October 25 and October 31. An additional sample of 869 likely Republican primary voters was surveyed regarding likely primary votes. Quinnipiac University identifies likely voters based on self-identified voter registration. Weighting was used to adjust raw data in accordance with data from the most recent Census. Only demographic criteria was weighted, including gender, age, education, race and region. The margin of error for the general voters was +/-2.1 points, and for the Republican primary sample was +/-3.3 percent.


http://www.decodedscience.com/should-obama-celebrate-rising-approval-new-poll-shows-six-point-jump/4973
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 09:50 AM
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1. #5 KnR.... :o)
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 10:28 AM
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2. I'm thinking every poll, with the possible exception of Rasmussen, has shown an upward tic.
Is it merely the fact that America is getting a good look at what the other side is offering, and are slowly coming to their senses? :shrug:
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monmouth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I'm thinking that too. Even the repubs who live here, they have sons
and daughters, in-laws, out of work. TPTB in the repub congress think they're being smart here and the obey Norquist at all cost is going to get them a big win. I don't think so.
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. Let's hope their overconfidence is their undoing.
:hi:
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 10:40 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. The latest Gallup Poll has Obama and Romney in a dead heat and Obama and Cain in a
statistical dead heat (Obama +2.)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150554/Obama-Romney-Tied-Nationally-Swing-States.aspx

Of course this is different than a breakdown by states and electoral votes, and a lot can happen between now and next year's election.

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MjolnirTime Donating Member (218 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-05-11 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. Do you go from thread to thread posting that same line?
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-05-11 06:47 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. Not necessarily, but often people might read one thread but not another. It is
common for posters to make a similar point in more than one thread. I'm sorry if you object to it.
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Sheepshank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-05-11 10:54 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. And lets not forget, their platform on bashing Obama
hasn't been reciprocated yet. They are in statistical heats because Obama has not turned a spotlight on them yet.
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-04-11 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
6. K&R nt
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MjolnirTime Donating Member (218 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-05-11 12:13 AM
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7. The tigeroshiiii Effect ... look it up
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