PPP: Obama behind but competitive in state of Missouri

[WI_DEM]

Remember he lost MO to John McCain in 2008, and it's interesting despite his summer long slump in the polls that the president is as competitive in MO as he is:

Barack Obama (D-inc): 43 (43)
Mitt Romney (R): 47 (45)
Undecided: 10 (12)
Barack Obama (D-inc): 45 (--)
Rick Perry (R): 47 (--)
Undecided: 8 (--)

Barack Obama (D-inc): 47 (45)
Newt Gingrich (R): 45 (44)
Undecided: 8 (10)

Barack Obama (D-inc): 47 (--)
Michele Bachmann (R): 43 (--)
Undecided: 10 (--)

Barack Obama trails the two likeliest Republican nominees. Maybe it's not that bad, though, considering that Missouri is a state he lost in 2008, more of a Lean R state than a bellwether anymore at the presidential level. So for 2012, winning Missouri would be unlikely icing on the cake of a landslide rather than an urgent part of the path to 270, and lagging only a few points behind where he lost it (by less than a point) to John McCain is predictable, if not a little better than would be expected right now, given his 43/53 approvals (including 37% among whites). Obama has a 41% approval among indies, but that's much better than any of his opposition (Mitt Romney fares best with 28% favorables), so that's what's keeping him competitive in this light-red state.

www.dailykos.com

[nevergiveup]

1. If Obama stays this competitive in Missouri

he will coast to victory nationwide. I am a little surprised at these numbers as Missouri has been trending red.

[pstokely]

6. And electing a lot of anti-choice DINOs

Nixon is DINOish on a lot of issues

[Hawkowl]

7. He will lose the nation, but yet remain competitive...

:eyes: He can only win, by winning decisively. Comptetitive races will be stolen as they were for Gore, and Kerry. So....Obama gets his ass kicked in 2012. :nopity:

[pstokely]

2. Repuke's need Missouri more than Obama

Obama can win without Missouri but the Repukes can't

[TheWraith]

5. And if Obama is competitive in Missouri, it means winning OH, VA, NM, CO...

And a herd of other states that the Republicans need.

[CakeGrrl]

3. And of course, this is all without the President actually CAMPAIGNING yet. -nt

[TheWraith]

4. And this is arguably at Obama's weakest, and the Republicans' strongest.

When people are most pissed about the economy, and before they get a chance to learn how totally fucking batshit insane the Reps are.

[Arkana]

8. Well, we did lose Missouri last time--it's a tough state for Dems.

[Telly Savalas]

9. Just barely though: it was 49.4% vs. 49.3%

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jay Nixon won by nearly 20 points.

Outside the KC and St. Louis areas it tends to be pretty conservative, but Democrats can sometimes hold their own here.

[pstokely]

10. Problem is, the party doesn't seem interested in competing in the rural areas

No opponent for Hartzler has emerged yet. Dems can win statewide but they have trouble at the local level outside KC, Stl, and Columbia