Aug. 2 — The Treasury Department’s deadline for raising the debt ceiling. Here’s how Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner described this drop-dead date, according to a Federal News transcript of NBC’s Meet the Press broadcast on July 10: ”There is no credible way to give Congress more time. There is no constitutional option, there is no delay option, there is no creative financial option. They have to act by the second.”
“The U.S. sovereign rating will be placed on
if, contrary to expectations, an increase in the ceiling has not been enacted by August 2,” -Fitch Ratings.
“The Secretary of the Treasury has indicated that the government will have to drastically reduce expenditure sometime around August 2 if the debt limit is not raised; the initiation of a rating review would precede this date,” -Moody’s Investor Service
Aug. 3 – About $23 billion in Social Security benefits checks are due. In a recent Q&A, style explainer Goldman Sachs analyst Alec Phillips noted that Social Security payments might still be made by drawing down the Treasury’s cash balance. “The Treasury would exhaust its financing options when making Social Security payments,” Phillips wrote.
Aug. 4 – “The Treasury Department has a $91 billion T-bill maturity due on August 4, and a failure to pay that obligation under this scenario would cause ratings agencies to issue a “D” rating on the security, and to downgrade the credit rating of other Treasuries, likely by several notches,” wrote analysts at Janney Capital Markets. This seems to be the date when S&P would act. “If you miss a payment, and you’re not in a grace period and you’re out of compliance with the bond indenture, the rating goes to SD, selective default,” said John Chambers, chairman of the sovereign ratings committee at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services.
http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/07/11/debt-ceiling-debate-the-mother-of-all-timelines/