(and the tea-party dominated GOP won't nominated Romney)
Raleigh, N.C. – New Hampshire is a nominal swing state, but it has gone blue in four of
the last five presidential elections. According to PPP’s latest poll of the Granite State,
Mitt Romney is the only potential GOP nominee with a shot at putting New Hampshire’s
four electoral votes in play next year. Otherwise, President Obama leads by margins
larger than his almost ten-point victory over John McCain in 2008.
Romney essentially ties the president, with 46% to Obama’s 47%. But the president tops
Newt Gingrich 52-39, Mike Huckabee 52-38, Donald Trump 51-37, and Sarah Palin 56-
34.
This is another case of Obama prevailing not because voters love him but because they
do not particularly like any of the Republicans. 46% both approve and disapprove of the
president’s job performance, roughly the same as his nationwide standing. But except for
Romney’s 45-44 favorable-unfavorable spread, all the other candidates are in far worse
shape: Huckabee at 29-52, Trump 27-60, Gingrich 24-62, and Palin 28-67.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_04061023.pdfRaleigh, N.C. – There has been speculation that President Obama’s re-election campaign
may make a play for the 16 electoral votes of what is now the eighth largest state:
Georgia. That may be a smart move, judging by PPP’s latest poll. While no Democrat
has won the state since Bill Clinton in 1992, and the party has not won it without a
Southerner on the ticket since 1944, Obama lost to John McCain there by only five
points. And it now joins Southern neighbors Mississippi, Tennessee, South Carolina,
North Carolina, and Virginia as states where Obama has improved since 2008, according
to recent PPP polls.
Obama trails the candidates who are typically his strongest competitors, Mike Huckabee
and Mitt Romney, by only three points, 48-45 against Huckabee and 46-43 against
Romney. What may be the biggest surprise, though, is that Obama actually narrowly
leads Georgia natives Newt Gingrich, 46-45, and Herman Cain, 44-39. He also tops
Sarah Palin, 48-43.
Georgians are split on Obama’s job performance, with 47% approving and 48%
disapproving. But except Huckabee, of whom 48% have a favorable opinion and only a
third an unfavorable one, all of Obama’s potential opponents are
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_GA_0405217.pdf