BREAKING Huff Post exits: Dems will hold senate with 53-54 seats imo if this data is correct

[Politics_Guy25]

Link from Huffpost:
Leaked exit polls for key Senate races now spreading like wildfire among politicos:

Blumenthal (D-CT) +8
Rubio (R-FL) +21
Blunt (R-MO) +10
Boxer (D-CA) +8
Kirk (R-IL) +6
Paul (R-KY) +11,
NV--EVEN
Bennet (D-CO) +2
Toomey (R-PA) +4
Murray (D-WA) +6
Manchin (D-WV) +7
Johnson (R-WI) +5


Wow awesome news. Much larger senate margin that I was expecting.

Link added:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/02/exit-polls-2010_n_777869.html

[marmar]

1. Losing the Illinois seat would be a bummer

[Clio the Leo]

8. I know....

... losing Roland Burris' seat would be a HUGE symbolic loss for us. :-)

[DrToast]

2. Link?

[BootinUp]

3. Kirk by 6? and Manchin by 7. Seems unlikely.

[Clio the Leo]

11. Dont know about Kirk, but Manchin by seven seems VERY likely to me...

.... he came on strong at the end.

[RoseMead]

30. I think you're right.

And I think Rahall's going to get it done, too.

[Jennicut]

4. Reid may actually pull it out in Nevada.

Or he could lose a really close race. In fact, it may not be decided tonight if it is that close.

[Aramchek]

5. it will be closer in Illinois, and Reid will hold his seat

you haven't got Koons on there either

[kestrel91316]

6. Well, don't we have 60 now and can't get a damned thing done??

[karynnj]

25. No - 59 and we did a huge amount

The various stimulus bills saved the country and we passed HCR.

[virtualobserver]

7. I was reading that the exit polls are structurally based on the pre-election polls

if the assumptions that they made on the original polls were wrong, the exit polls would be similarly wrong.

[Sky Masterson]

9. I got the same E-mail

They are early numbers.

[valerief]

10. Nowadays they need 60 anyway. If the Repubs got it, the Dems could filibuster like was done to them.

[juajen]

16. Except that when the pugs were in the Dems did not filibuster.

I wish they had. This is said all of the time, but rarely happens.

[valerief]

20. That was then. This is now. We can only hope. nt

[Faygo Kid]

12. I remember exit polls about Kerry in Ohio in 2004.

Funny how that one worked out.

No trust here.

[karynnj]

29. Same here

I remember the euphoria hearing them in the democratic headquarters in my county and feeling an incredible weight removed. I was very impressed with Kerry - and had become so more and more as I learned more. (Though I became even more impressed over the next 5 years.) So, it was incredible thinking of him and the wonderful Teresa in the White House. Even more than Obama, I trusted Kerry on foreign policy and resolving the wars as best he could. I picked up dinner for my family, drove home to watch the results .. and then ended up incredibly disappointed.

The fact is that the polls in many of those places are not closed. This means their estimates of who voted can't be that accurate.

[Greybnk48]

13. Feingold losing to a real pig. : (

[cascadiance]

19. I hope that the Badger state can get a brain and start voting NOW!

They've probably been paying too much attention to football games over the last two weeks instead of who they're voting for. As a Hawkeye fan, I'm having more reasons to dislike Badger people recently. Fighting Bob Follet would be turning over in his grave now.

[Liberal_in_LA]

14. How about Alaska?

[cascadiance]

15. Any Wyden poll numbers yet?...

Not that I'm worried at all, but just wanted to know when Oregon polling gets in to gear. Would like to see how Kitzhaber's doing soon here in addition to the rest of the news. I guess no news from Hawaii or Alaska either yet, which would be more understandable.

[Arkana]

17. Bennet winning would be huge--fending off Ken Buck

would mean turnout was higher out there than we thought.

[impik]

18. I refuse to lose to Kirk

Pig.

[vaberella]

21. How late they change their tune? n/t

[LeftyAndProud60]

22. I don't see Bennet winning. And my god, Toomey is going to win. Damn this country. NT

[Jennicut]

28. Bennet has a better shot then some of the other Dem races.

[pa28]

23. Closer than expected so maybe we can infer a smaller loss in the house.

I'm hoping we can stay off the panic button for a while longer. Many west coast Democrats have yet to vote.

[book_worm]

24. Hmm, I think PA is close enough that it could go either way.

[thewiseguy]

26. I can not believe you guys are actually buying into this shit

[flpoljunkie]

27. CQ Political Wire: Extreme caution is advised in attempting to interpret these results

Senate Exit Polls

Here are the leaked exit polls for key U.S. Senate races as reported by the Drudge Report and Huffington Post:

Blumenthal (D-CT) +8
Rubio (R-FL) +21
Blunt (R-MO) +10
Boxer (D-CA) +8
Kirk (R-IL) +6
Paul (R-KY) +11
NV--EVEN
Bennet (D-CO) +2
Toomey (R-PA) +4
Murray (D-WA) +6
Manchin (D-WV) +7
Johnson (R-WI) +5

Extreme caution is advised in attempting to interpret these results.

Interestingly, Sen. Harry Reid's (D-NV) campaign is confident they have a lead among those who voted early so a tie among today's voters would be good news for him. Based on the exit polls, pollster Frank Luntz thinks Reid will win.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/02/senate_exit_polls.html