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Back in 2000-2006, the DOW was kind of meandering between 10k and 12k. Then, as oil went up, so did the market. When it hit about 13k or so, I rebalanced my 401k portfolio some because I didn't see a good reason for the climb. Which locked in some modest gains.
(As an aside, looking back, I WISH I had moved it all to CASH at that moment to lock in the rise. But it wasn't a bubble yet.)
As the market went up towards 14k, I was happy in some ways, but not sure what was going on. Again, I didn't see a reason for it. Then, all of a sudden, we get the announcement of the end of the world, and the market topples. But from my view, dropping back into that 10-12k range didn't seem like and unlikely possibility.
But then we passed through 10k, and 9k ... and that, like the spike, made NO SENSE.
When Obama took office the DOW was at about 7500. A friend of mine had what turned out to be a great idea ... change your 401k contribution to buy as much as possible as fast as possible starting in Jan 2009. He did it. He and his wife, mid 40s, no kids, good high tech jobs ... they maxed their 401ks between Jan and April 2009. Which means they were buying at a rough average of a DOW at 7300 (6500 being the low in March 2009).
With the return to 10,500 ... he and his wife have almost doubled their 401k contributions from 2009. Not bad.
I took his advice, although not quite as aggressively (I have 3 kids and they are expensive), but I too did pretty well as a result.
And when the DOW hit 10,500 recently, I rebalanced my 401k again. Currently, I'm young enough to play this game. But I watch my 401k like a hawk.
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