(R)as WV-SEN POLL: Manchin 51, Raese 35.

[jefferson_dem]

Good news here. If Scotty (R)ASS has Manchin at +16, he must be up in the 20s.

Election 2010: West Virginia Senate Special Election
West Virginia Special Senate Election: Manchin (D) 51% Raese (35%)
Friday, July 23, 2010

Now that state legislators have officially approved a special Senate election this November to replace the late Robert Byrd, the state’s Democratic governor still earns majority support to win the job.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Governor Joe Manchin picking up 51% of the vote when matched against businessman John Raese, who picks up 35%. Five percent (5%) would prefer a different candidate and another nine percent (9%) are undecided.

Though five candidates have filed for the Republican nomination, Raese is the most notable. He ran a close race for Senate in 1984, and later challenged Byrd for his seat in 2006. He lost handily.

Manchin also led Republicans in two other hypothetical match-ups early this month.

Both parties’ primaries will be held on August 28.

While Manchin earns support from 78% of Democrats, Raese attracts only 56% of Republicans. But the Republican holds a twelve-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party. If Raese is to make the race competitive, he will have to start by finding a way to win over the 29% of Republicans who currently support Manchin.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/west_virginia/election_2010_west_virginia_senate_special_election

[Jennicut]

1. I don't like Manchin much at all but we will keep that seat thanks to his popularity in W. VA.

[phleshdef]

2. With the passing of Robert Byrd, Manchin is probably the most popular politician in WVa.

I doubt there is any chance he will lose.

[WI_DEM]

3. While they are socially conservative Dems in WVA vastly outnumber Republicans

[David__77]

4. We do need economic populism to trump cultural issues in those parts.

As well as in Kentucky and parts of Indiana and Ohio. There are segments that are definitely opposed to free market neo-liberal policies but we need to win them to a new coalition.