Why This Isn't 1994

[babylonsister]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/07/16/why_this_isnt_1994.html

July 16, 2010

Why This Isn't 1994


The DNC released a memo that says predictions of a Republican "wave" is misreading history.

Greg Sargent has the short version: "Obama is more popular than Clinton was in 1994; the GOP has not capitalized on Dem travails to repair its brand; and Dems are persuading voters to see this fall's contests as a choice between two governing philosophies."

DNC memo here:

http://www.democrats.org/a/2010/07/putting_voter_s.php

snip//

Conclusion

While many Democratic candidates this year may face tough races, polling suggests that this election is shaping up to be different in many respects than either 1994 or 2006, with Democrats in position to win close races across the country and to maintain strong majorities in both the House and Senate. In fact, Democrats today are in a greater position of strength than Democrats in 1994 or Republicans in 2006. Democrats have real accomplishments that benefit middle class families and small businesses to campaign on, an economy that is once again growing and creating jobs and a public that still remembers the disastrous consequences of failed Republican policies that cut taxes for the wealthy, cut rules for big corporations and cut the middle class loose to fend for themselves.

So after 18 months of Democrats governing while Republicans in Congress have stood on the sideline and rooted for failure, Democrats are in a strong position to begin the campaign season and present voters with a clear choice: keep America moving forward or going back to the same polices that created the worst economy since the Great Depression.

It's the long shadow of the failed Bush economic policies that is keeping support for Republicans at a near record lows and why support for Republicans falls short of support for the minority party in either 1994 or 2006.

Thus, Republicans’ continued weaknesses and low approval ratings are helping Democrats turn this election into a choice between the two parties rather than just a referendum on the party in power. Despite the downcast assessments of Democratic political fortunes, we believe that this election stands to be different than so-called “wave” elections of the past and that Democrats have every reason to be hopeful that we can weather a treacherous political climate and maintain strong majorities in the House and Senate.

[the other one]

1. K n R

[David__77]

2. We'll see... a lot of the 94 races were very close as well.

In fact, had the Democrats done just a bit better, they could have retained both houses, setting up a very different narrative indeed. Outreach is the key!

[geek tragedy]

3. And the close races usually tend to all break the same way.

The RNC's response was pretty funny, I have to admit.

[Beetwasher]

4. I Guarantee You We Are NOT Going To See A "Wave" Election

Repub gains will be marginal. I guarantee it. Bookmark this post and give me shit if I'm wrong.

BEETWASHER GUARANTEED!

[Peacetrain]

7. Nothing better than that... !!!

I am with you all the way on this

[Cosmocat]

8. Yeah ...

We are still about two months away, but I put the house gains at 20 give or take and the senate gains at 3 give or take, and it is because Ds are overextended on districts that are R leaning more than anything else ...

Ds have money, the are the incumbants, the Rs generic polling is LOWER than the Ds ... EVERYONE says they want to kick the bums out, except THEIR bum ...

Some big events could occur in the next two months that could turn things in a bigger way, but the Rs have nothing but nothing ... Media WANTS this to be "94" cause its marching orders is and remains "ds in trouble" ...

Friggen Rs had a smaller majority and the breathlessly panted "permanent republican majority" for four years ... They have been digging the Ds grave since the day after the election ...

[depakid]

14. See you on Nov. 3

Hope you're right.

The House doesn't deserve to pay the lion's share for the administration's and the Senate's repeated failures.

[Beetwasher]

16. "Hope you're right. " No You Don't, It's Obvious To Everyone On This Board

You're rooting for failure. You're fooling no one.

[depakid]

19. LOL- whatever credibility you once had- you've long since lost

Sad really, because once upon a time, people took you seriously.

Now you're just another poster with little independent though touting conspiracy theory.

[Beetwasher]

21. Coming From You, That's A Compliment

Now back to your irrational hating. Carry on.

[izquierdista]

5. A big choice it is!

Between getting 0% of what you want (actually that choice is giving back some of what you got) and 10% of what you want, I'll take the two nickels -- chump change you can believe in! Come on, doesn't that fire up you progressives??

[Connie_Corleone]

6. Chump change like Health care reform, financial regulations reform...

two liberal women being appointed to the Supreme Court, fully funding the Veterans Administration, making it easier for veterans who suffer from PTSD to receive federal benefits, overhauling the student loan program, winding down the Iraq war, signing the Lilly Ledbetter Act into law, passing the economic stimulus, providing the largest middle class tax cut, signed a hate crimes bill into law.

Yeah, some chump change.

Give me a fucking break.

:eyes:

[izquierdista]

9. Yep, that's about 10%

This is no time to be taking a break, given the amount of promises left to work on.

[Arkana]

10. It's not '94 because we have ultimately beaten them on every legislative front.

They threw everything they had against health care--but this time, we beat them.

They attacked financial regulations mercilessly--we still beat them.

They fought us on a stimulus package and we beat them.

We have a litany of accomplishments to point to and all Republicans can say is "HEY GUYS WE JUST KEPT OUR FINGERS PLUGGED IN OUR EARS AND SAID NO NO NO NO NO OVER AND OVER!"

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

11. The main point of this is that though the M$M and Republicans want to make

elections about the purported lack of support for Obama and the Dems, the fact is that Americans like the Republicans EVEN LESS!!

This is much more about the two competing philosophies: one that has been proved wrong again and again; the other which works and has worked.

[golfguru]

12. 2012 Presidential polls

http://hotair.com/archives/2010/07/15/ppp-obama-palin-tied-4646-in-2012-polling/

[babylonsister]

13. Umm, you might want to find better sources...

http://hotair.com/about/

History

Hot Air was launched on April 24, 2006, with Michelle Malkin as founder/CEO. Since then, the site has become one of the largest right-of-center blogs on the Internet. Here’s the very first post that appeared at Hot Air–posted at 4:15am after bleary-eyed preparations and an intense team effort to launch the site. Here were Michelle’s reflections on the site’s six-month anniversary.

In February 2010, HotAir was acquired and became part of the Townhall/HotAir network alongside Townhall.com and Townhall Magazine in a network of conservative websites with over three million monthly readers.
The Editors

Allahpundit has been blogging for Hot Air since its inception in April 2006. He is cited in Mary Mapes’s book as one of the right-wing bloggers whose “wild and hateful claims” helped destroy CBS’s story about the Bush National Guard memos, which pleases him to no end. He can be reached at [e-mail].

Ed Morrissey joined Hot Air in February 2008. He can be reached at [e-mail] after writing at Captain’s Quarters since 2003. He also hosts a weekly radio show on Minnesota’s AM 1280 The Patriot every Saturday afternoon.

[golfguru]

15. Actually I do not trust any poll

Not even the "exit poll". People lie to the pollsters. Also polls
use push questions. It is just entertainment. Once you realize that
you will not be exuberant or despondent after reading any poll.

[babylonsister]

17. hotair isn't a source I'd use for anything. Do what you want. nt

[golfguru]

18. Poll was not done by Hotair, if you bother to read the link it was done by

PPP which is not a right wing tool by a long shot.
I have seen the same poll quoted in several other web sites.
I just happened to run into Hotair first.

[DCBob]

20. I agree.. I think the best argument is going to be if you think its bad now...

just put the GOPers in charge of either chamber and nothing will get done... this crisis will spiral out of control and we wont be able to do anything about it since congress will be gridlocked.