Could Delaware Senate be a sleeper race? new Ras poll indicates closer than expected.

[WI_DEM]

At one point Castle had a better than 20-point lead over Coons, now it's down to 11-points with Castle under 50%

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/de_47_castle_36_coons_rasmusse.php

Rasmussen
7/14/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Delaware

2010 Senate
47% Castle (R), 36% Coons (D) (chart)
51% O'Donnell (R), 39% Coons (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Coons: 49 / 28
Mike Castle: 60 / 31
Christine O'Donnell: 43 / 33

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 48 (chart)
Gov. Markell: 63 / 31 (chart)

[KingFlorez]

1. It's very odd that the teabagger polls better than Castle

And for her to even have a lead is even more dodgy. This one might be a sleeper, so it's probably best to start watching it.

[WI_DEM]

2. maybe the tea partier will beat Castle in primary? I'm sure the wider public

isn't even that aware of her.

[KingFlorez]

3. It's possible, others have won primaries

If the tea party takes notice of her and starts throwing support to her, Castle might be in trouble. It doesn't take many votes to win a primary in Delaware, they could easily cause him problems.