** Super Duper Tuesday Primary Results **

[Clio the Leo]

I'm gonna do the AR ... SC ... CA and NV races yell if anyone wants another one or post if you like....

As of now:

AR-SEN (D)
Halter 49%
5,085

Lincoln 51%
5,389
<1% reporting


SC-GOV (R)
Barrett 23%
29,775

Bauer 12%
15,211

Haley 47%
60,060
McMaster 17%
22,082

35% reporting



NV-SEN (R)
polls still open

CA Gov - R and CA Sen-R
still open

(getting results from here: http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/news/scoreboard.php at the moment)

[Ken Burch]

1. Could you add the numbers in the Winograd-Harman race when the Ca. polls close?

n/t.

[Clio the Leo]

4. sure, if I can find them .... what office is that for? NT

[Hawkeye-X]

7. US Rep, District #36

[Hawkeye-X]

2. California results (Gov, and US Senate, and Harman v Winograd)

thanks!

[Clio the Leo]

5. yeah .... forgot those, didn't I. NT

[Democat]

3. Let's hope Haley wins so she can resign if cheating pics are released!

Should add some excitement for right wingers like her who want big government to tell you how to live your personal life.

[Clio the Leo]

6. sadly, I think that's ceased being an issue that can take someone down. NT

[DesertRat]

8. k&r

[Clio the Leo]

9. Incumbent Rep. Bob Inglis (R-S.C.) currently LOSING to his opponent....

24% - 50%

(per Twitter- Dave Weigel)

[Clio the Leo]

10. SC GOV R: Haley 48% (53% in)

no one else even close (everyone go into full Palin victory Tweet mode, put on your protective head gear and masks)

[DarthDem]

11. Doesn't She

. . . need 50%?

[Clio the Leo]

13. yep. NT

[jenmito]

14. To avoid a 6/22 run-off, yes. n/t

[Clio the Leo]

12. SC=GOV (R): Haley 48% (62% in)

next highest vote getter is at 22%

[Clio the Leo]

15. AR-Sen (D): Lincoln 53%, Halter 47%, 6% in. NT

[Clio the Leo]

16. Uh oh, Nate Silver thinks Halter is in trouble:

"Bill Halter is in serious trouble. If you look at the countries where a decent number of precincts are reporting and compare his performance to three weeks ago... he's usually doing worse."

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/06/primary-night-in-america-682010.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[skipos]

17. Halter doesn't seem to be increasing his performance enough (if at all)

and the people who are familiar with AR elections seem to be much more pessimistic about his chances as the results trickle in.
Intrade had Halter/Lincoln odds at 85/15 a few hours ago, they are 35/65 now.

[BootinUp]

19. Just a pet peeve

Intrade=Conventional Wisdom on cableTV.

[skipos]

22. Yes, Intrade is often wrong

but they show how people feel about it right now. And right now, people aren't feeling very good about Halter. I haven't heard any of the "pros" like 538 be very optimistic since the results started coming in.

[golfguru]

44. Just cuz people put money on Intrade

don't mean they are Nostradamus.

[Lucky Luciano]

82. Well, if you think you have an edge over said conventional wisdom,

you should be placing bets!!!!

[Clio the Leo]

18. SC-GOV (R): Haley 49% (72% in)

[jenmito]

20. I hope she doesn't get enough of the vote to avoid a run-off.

[BootinUp]

23. I wanna say

thats kind of mean, making her go through this shit again, lol.

[jenmito]

25. BREAKING-she did NOT win enough to avoid a run-off.

Oh, well.

[BootinUp]

27. what a darn shame, lol. nt

[Clio the Leo]

21. AR-Sen (D): Lincoln 53%, Halter 47%, (14% in) nt

[jenmito]

24. If Lincoln wins, ya think Obama will get any credit? n/t

[Clio the Leo]

28. lol no ....

.... nor should he. The WH has washed their hands of this whole thing.

[jenmito]

32. True...

but every time an incumbent loses, it goes on his "record." So far, I think they say he's 4-0.

[Clio the Leo]

33. lol .... ah, gotcha.

Well, what little endorsement the Obama folks have done of Lincoln, I dont think they're in a rush to claim her.

[Clio the Leo]

34. *

[Clio the Leo]

26. AP Reporting that Haley has NOT avoided a run-off....

.... per Rachel .... she'll face Gresham Barret later this month.

[Thrill]

29. Looks like Bill may have saved Republican Blanche Lincoln

.

[GreenPartyVoter]

38. :^(

[Clio the Leo]

30. AR-SEN (D): Lincoln 52%, Halter 48%, 19% in

per Chris Cilizza's Twitter

[Robbins]

31. AR-SEN

It Is getting closer.Lincoln has gone from 8 point lead to 6 point lead to now 4 point lead.It Isn't over yet.This may come down to
the wire.

If Halter pulls It off the story should be Democrats In AR no longer pay attention to Bill Clinton.

[Hawkeye-X]

40. In fact.. if Garland County is any indication,

It will pull the rug off Lincoln, and there's a pending lawsuit waiting by Hooten that would clearly invalidate the election result and have to do a do-over.

[Clio the Leo]

35. AR-Sen (D): Lincoln, 52% Halter 48%, 27% in NT

[Wandawilkerson]

36. Breaking: Lawyer files voter lawsuit in Garland County

"The lawsuit, filed by Hot Springs attorney Ben Hooten, states that the commission intentionally scheduled only two polling sites for "the purpose of disenfranchising " minority, elderly, poor and disabled voters" in the county. It also says that "the greater part of the voting electorate are unable to find or reach" the polling places and are "thereby deprived of their right to vote"

My emphasis.

http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/06/08/voter-lawsuit-filed-in-arkansas-blanche-lincoln-bill-halter-se/

[BootinUp]

37. Nate Silver

10:01 PM . Jefferson County has counted nearly all of its vote, and Halter is losing by 18 points there. He lost by 13 in May. He's in trouble.

[DarthDem]

39. I'm Tired of Nate

. . . and tired of election-related lawsuits. They don't ever amount to anything. And I'm still content to let Halter's chances play out a little past 27% of the vote.

[Clio the Leo]

41. Ar-Sen (D): Lincoln 52%, Halter 48%, 37% in, however....

"Labor sources very nervous about AR at this point. Lincoln's numbers in Pulaksi and among black voters are higher; she's up everywhere"

http://twitter.com/marcambinder/status/15749481649

[Robbins]

48. AR

It Is still early.Here In Missouri we know 37% In does not mean it will hold up.However If she wins she Is a guranteed loser In
November.Halter would have a slim chance of winning as LT Governor and non Incumbent.

[Clio the Leo]

51. *

[golfguru]

42. clio is a real work horse

or should I say work mare :)

Thank you for all the work you do here.

[Clio the Leo]

45. nah....

.... it's too much fun to be work. (but thank you for the kind words)

[Clio the Leo]

43. Bonus SC-Sen (D) info.....

(not GOOD info btw)

Unknown Candidate Wins Senate Nomination
Alvin Greene (D), a 32 year old unemployed military veteran, has stunned South Carolina insiders by winning the Democratic nomination to challenge Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) this fall, the AP reports.

Greene raised no money in the contest, had no signs and no website.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/06/08/unknown_candidate_wins_senate_nomination.html

[KingFlorez]

46. It's starting to look like Lincoln will survive

Once Clinton got involved, that swayed a lot of people toward Lincoln.

[Wandawilkerson]

47. 51-49% with 42% of the votes reported!!!

It's getting close

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/

[saltpoint]

49. Hey wanda -- welcome to DU.

[Wandawilkerson]

60. thank you

thanks.

[Clio the Leo]

50. Cilizza says, "keep in eye on Pulaski county".... well....

"Lincoln up 61-39 in early returns from Pulaski County, which includes the capital of Little Rock"

http://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/15749635454

[KingFlorez]

52. AR-02 Dem Primary Results

Senator Joyce Elliott (Democrat) 15,164 53.70%
Speaker Robbie Wills (Democrat) 13,074 46.30%

[Clio the Leo]

53. Chuckles is reporting the Halter folks are being very quiet...

... NOT a good sign.

Those of us on various Halter media lists (or his supporting grps) don't need to see the returns to know, they are nervous. Why? #crickets

http://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/15750280312

[Hawkeye-X]

57. I wouldn't give Chuckles the time of the day

Halter's peeps are being smart and waiting for maybe 75% reported before they decide their next step.

[Clio the Leo]

67. He's got his issues, but he eats, sleeps and breathes this kind of thing...

.... he knows his stuff and he has inside sources.

[Sky Masterson]

54. Huffpost has halter ahead with 55%

Arkansas
Dem Runoff, U.S. Senate
51%
Bill Halter
49%
Blanche Lincoln

[Clio the Leo]

56. Yay! NT

[saltpoint]

58. I always did like the math department at that site.

Go, Bill.

[Robbins]

61. COuntdown

Keith just reported now halter has moved ahead 51 to 49.So the race continues despite what some were thinking.

[Clio the Leo]

55. AR-SEN (D): Lincoln 51%, Halter 49%, 47% in NT

[DarthDem]

59. Huffpost Says Halter's Up

So . . . what do they know that Chuckles doesn't? (Nate is actually not all that reliable for insta-analysis.)

[Mass]

62. AP at 55 % - Halter 51 %, Lincoln 49 %

[Clio the Leo]

63. AR-Sen (D): More from the pivotal Pulaski county..

In Pulaski, (Little Rock), Halter leads 59-41 but with just 26% of precincts reporting. On 5/18, Lincoln won Pulaski 52-40.

http://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/15750765935

Random note: wonder if Arkansans pronounce Pulaski the way we Tennesseans do, "Pew-LA-Skee"?

[KBlagburn]

64. Halter Ahead

U.S. Senate Runoff
55% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D) 84,239 51%
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D / Inc.) 80,803 49%

http://www.fox16.com/content/news/electionresults.aspx

[KBlagburn]

68. 60% in

U.S. Senate Runoff
59% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D) 87,568 51%
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D / Inc.) 84,480 49%


http://www.fox16.com/content/news/electionresults.aspx

[Dr Morbius]

65. That Arkansas race is going to go down to the wire.

Might not get the winner tonight.

[Bryn]

66. Yay! Halter is ahead of Lincoln

Wheeeeeeeeee! Halter 51 and Lincoln 49 60% reporting

[DarthDem]

69. Nate Furiously Backpedaling Now

"Whoa, Halter leading by 18 points in Pulaski County (Little Rock) so far. He lost it by 12 in May. If that holds up, that's a TOTAL game-changer."



YEAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!! Come on, Bill!!!!!!!!! DO THIS!!!!

[saltpoint]

72. Well, I hope it is a game-changer.

Nate's a smart guy. It would be great fun to watch election returns with him and listen to his comments.

Meanwhile, I'm rooting for Halter to take this nomination fight.

[Clio the Leo]

70. AR-SEN (D): Halter 51%, Lincoln 49%, 60% in...

.... and I'm switching to the evil empire HuffPo's stats now.

[Clio the Leo]

71. More from Pulaski Co....

Now, with 41% reporting in Pulaski, Lincoln leading 60-40; clearly some sort of error in the count as Halter lost raw vote in latest update

http://twitter.com/chucktodd

[KBlagburn]

73. Lincoln back on top 63% in

U.S. Senate Runoff
63% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D / Inc.) 94,109 51%
Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D) 89,223 49%

[Robbins]

75. Damn

Let's wait before calling It over though.

[Bryn]

74. Go, Bill, Go

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

[Parker CA]

76. CNN has 50.9 - 49.1 for Halter with 60% in. nt

[Clio the Leo]

77. And we've flipped back: Lincoln 51%, Halter 49%, 63% in NT

[KingFlorez]

78. AR-02: Joyce Elliott expanding lead some

Senator Joyce Elliott (Democrat) 20,304 55.59%
Speaker Robbie Wills (Democrat) 16,222 44.41%

[Clio the Leo]

79. Pulaski numbers are here...

http://www.votepulaski.net/results/2010/6-8-10%20Pref%20Prim%20Runoff/SUMMARY.htm

[Clio the Leo]

80. Halter losing by almost 20 pts .... this area includes Little Rock.

Not good.

[Bryn]

81. I can't believe most voted for Lincoln in LIttle Rock

Don't they know better????

[Bryn]

Has Garland County votes been counted?

There's a lawsuit filed against Garland County (Hot Springs, AR where Bill Halter is very popular) because they reduced from 41 voting places to just 2 and Hot Springs is BIG!!

[Clio the Leo]

83. Pulaski Co (88% in): Lincoln 58%, Halter 41% nt

[Clio the Leo]

84. NV Sen R here...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x331156

[Clio the Leo]

85. 77% in: Lincoln 51%, Halter 49% .... Halter's previous lead is being reported...

... as a "clerical error" by KO.

[Clio the Leo]

86. Politico calls it for Lincoln.....

.... take that for what its worth.

http://www.politico.com/

[DarthDem]

87. Yep, 80% in

She's up almost 3% now. Looks to be done. Damn.

[Robbins]

88. Terrable

Worst election night since Scott Brown took Ted Kennedy's seat.Well she Is a guranteed loser In November.

[Freddie Stubbs]

89. Harman beats Winograd 58.8% - 41.2% with all precincts reporting

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/usrep/3659.htm

[liam_laddie]

90. Relative turnout numbers among D's & r's?

Wondering whether any organizations will analyze the parties' turnouts compared to previous primaries, several years' worth. Were Dems less motivated than r's/tea types? The MSM line about voter rage against incumbents seems overdone...to create a "story." I consider the r's are much more to blame for the gridlock in DC. But does the average voter see this? Or even care? Most of MSM stories tar the entire establishment. :wtf: