We've got an epic night of liveblogging on tap tomorrow night. Here's our preview of the races that you need to watch:
Arkansas:
AR-Sen (D): There's not a whole lot more that need be said about this race between Lt. Gov. Bill Halter and Sen. Blanche Lincoln. Before election day, it looked like Lincoln might win outright in the first round, but she wound up performing poorly, edging Halter just 45-43. Meanwhile third-wheel conservaweirdo D.C. Morrison pulled a surprisingly impressive 13%. Will his voters go to Lincoln as the candidate further to the right? Go to Halter as the anti-Lincoln vote? Or just stay home? It's impossible to say, but we'll have our answers soon enough. Historically, incumbents running for statewide office who only narrowly lead in the first round tend to fare poorly in runoffs, so it looks like Halter's in the driver's seat. But this one could be very close yet again. (D)
AR-01 (D): Yikes. This race pits conservative Democrat Chad Causey against really, really conservative Democrat Tim Wooldridge. (Wooldridge once proposed legislation to bring back public hanging, for starters.) Causey, a former chief-of-staff to retiring Rep. Marion Berry, trailed Wooldridge, a former state senator, 38-27 in the first round. But he seems to have consolidated a lot of support since then, scoring endorsements from several also-rans as well as Bill Clinton. Wooldridge released an internal poll last week showing him up 48-24, but the polling memo was oddly framed as an attack on Causey, which doesn't exactly project confidence. Causey hasn't released any new polling, but he claims a pre-runoff poll of his own showed him trailing 31-5, so he's spinning this as a 27% surge for him, but just a 7% increase for Wooldridge. (D)
AR-02 (D): The contours of this runoff differ quite a bit from AR-01. Here, state House Speaker Robbie Wills faces off against state Senate Majority Leader Joyce Elliott, who led 40-28 after the first round. Since then, things have gotten very negative. Wills, an insider's insider who is close to Gov. Mike Beebe, has attacked Elliott - who just so happens to be both black and a woman - as too liberal for the district. Some Elliott supporters have decried Wills's arguments about "electability" as racially motivated, and she's hit Wills with some negative ads herself. Both candidates have picked up support from also-rans, and in the absence of any polls, we can only say that it's anyone's race. (D)
Continued>>>>
http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/7036/ar-ca-ga-ia-me-nj-nv-sc-sd-va-primary-preview