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Nate Silver: Republicans -- Not Obama -- More Often on Wrong Side of Public Opinion

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 07:44 AM
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Nate Silver: Republicans -- Not Obama -- More Often on Wrong Side of Public Opinion
Republicans -- Not Obama -- More Often on Wrong Side of Public Opinion
by Nate Silver @ 7:23 AM

One of the more commonplace assertions among pundits on the center-right -- made rather carelessly by Victor Davis Hanson and more thoughtfully by Jay Cost, is that agenda put forward by Obama and the Democrats is overwhelmingly unpopular and that Democrats are simply getting their comeuppance for having pushed such a liberal set of reforms forward. These claims, however, rely on selective evidence, invariably citing policies like health care and the GM bailouts which are indeed unpopular (strongly so, in some cases), while ignoring many other issues on which Obama has been on the right side of public opinion.

In fact, a more objective and equivocal evaluation of public opinion on more than two dozen specific issues finds that the Republican Congress has far more often been on the wrong side of it. Attempting to be as comprehensive as possible, I've identified 25 issues that Obama and the Democrats have made an affirmative effort to push forward since taking office a year ago, and summarized public opinion on each of them. Most of the numbers that I've cited come from PollingReport.com.

Afghanistan Troop Escalation. An average of seven polls taken since President Obama's speech on Afghanistan in December show a 54-41 majority of the public in favor of escalating troop commitments. However, Obama appeared to get a bump from his speech, as an average of four polls conducted prior to the speech in November had shown a 49-46 plurality opposed to greater troop commitments.

Bank Tax. An NPR poll found a 57-39 majority in favor of the bank tax proposal, which the Congress has yet to consider, after being read arguments both for and against the program. (An ABC/Post poll found a 73-26 majority in favor of taxing financial sector bonuses over $1 million dollars, although the White House has not advanced that measure specifically.)

<SNIP>

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/republicans-not-obama-more-often-on.html#comments
Ben Bernanke. The only poll on Ben Bernanke, from NBC/WSJ, found a 37-34 plurality opposed to his reappointment; Bernanke was approved by 22 of 40 Senate Republicans and 48 of 60 Senate Democrats.
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 10:21 AM
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1. Kick! NT
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 10:24 AM
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2. Also, on health care, people don't necessarily think the Rethugs have any good ideas.
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Liberal Gramma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 10:59 AM
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3. I'm with you there! So tired of hearing Repugs say the country is moving right
when all the evidence suggests that we are more left of center than right of center. The heart of the problem is that the right controls the media, so they control the message, and if people hear the same lie repeated multiple times from multiple sources, they will believe it. I'd like to see a return to the fairness doctrine, which would knock Rush Limbaugh right off his perch.
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