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Is there any chance we could keep the House? What say you?

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BigBearJohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:31 AM
Original message
Is there any chance we could keep the House? What say you?
enter and sign in please
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whathehell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:34 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think we can...
but the M$N and their landline only polls are trying mightily to convince you otherwise.
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:34 AM
Response to Original message
2. I'm too distracted thinking of that slime "O'Reilly" when I see ...
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 06:35 AM by hlthe2b
"what say you..." :puke: So, what was the question? ......
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BigBearJohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
27. Ugh. You're right. EEK I must have been infected by that idiot. Sorry
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veganlush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:35 AM
Response to Original message
3. if the polls are way off,
..and the dems GOTV is on, then, maybe. but everybody has to get out there and VOTE!
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:38 AM
Response to Original message
4. I think the polsters are in for a big surprise.
:D
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TheCowsCameHome Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:01 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. I think so, too.
:thumbsup:
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:40 AM
Response to Original message
5. Nothing is impossible
the impossible just costs more and takes longer.

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bluedave Donating Member (206 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:42 AM
Response to Original message
6. yeh
and I am agnostic
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Trekologer Donating Member (445 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:50 AM
Response to Original message
7. Yes I think there is a chance we keep the House
On one hand, politically, I wouldn't mind the GOP winning the house so much as then they would actually have to do some governing and, since we know they won't, 2012 should be a cakewalk to get back into power.

On the other hand, I really, really, really, really, really, really, really want the talking heads and so-called experts to be wrong just to see what excuses they come up with as to why they were wrong.
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:50 AM
Response to Original message
8. After all the phony rage, hoopla and spin anything
Less than a blowout is a loss for the repukes.

That's what I think.
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madokie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:53 AM
Response to Original message
9. Personally I believe we'll add to the numbers
personally I believe the msm is selling a failed product when they continue to sell the crap that the pukes are going to take over. I don't see that much STUPID in our country. I have faith I guess you could say.
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:54 AM
Response to Original message
10. It's dropped in viewership, and now he's got together with Cuddy
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 06:55 AM by rucky
which usually doesn't help things in the long term. But I still think the series has a couple more years in it.
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veganlush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:42 AM
Response to Reply #10
39. hehehehh.....n/t
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deacon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:59 AM
Response to Original message
11. We're going to get to see just how bright the Independents are. Will that voting block vote in
extremeists?
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:03 AM
Response to Original message
13. It Was Going To Be Tough No Matter...
As we've seen here on DU, not all Democrats are the same. Many who won in '06 and '08 won in purple and red districts. This included a lot of Blue Dogs who are the most endangered tomorrow. The GOTB had screwed up so bad that Democrats won many districts despite, not because of what they stood for...and some of them decided to play rushpublican lite. That game will end tomorrow night.

The deal is the economy...this administration and the Democrats own it. People aren't happy and many are gonna use this election to make a "statement". Unfortunately many will vote stupid and go for the party that created this mess...swallowing the talking points and lies without a second thought.

That said, I don't think Democrats will lose all the seat the "pundits" think they will. However, they will lose seats and in some cases the losses won't be felt (so long Gene Taylor and Bart Stupak) and the rushpublicans will be under the spotlight and on the clock. If they overplay their hand...which I expect...they'll once again be held accountable...especially if gridlock sets in.

While I detest the though of Boner holding the Speaker's gavel...I also see it as a wake-up call to Democrats...both in the House and the "rank and file" as to putting together a better selling job in '10 and beyond and to get some focus. This country desperately needs it.
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HERVEPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:08 AM
Response to Original message
14. no
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:09 AM
Response to Original message
15. GO Dems
I'm sticking with my friend's prediction

220 Dems
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MilesColtrane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:12 AM
Response to Original message
16. Nope
And, I'm beginning to think the Senate may end up split.

I'd be deliriously happy to be wrong about this.
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:30 AM
Response to Original message
17. I hate to say it but I seriously doubt it. Too many vulnerable seats
keep in mind that we picked up over 50 seats in the past two elections. Those are Districts that have recently elected repubs and where incumbency is not a guarantee of reelection. As a result, we are particularly vulnerable in those districts. We also have a number of other districts where incumbency has helped in the past, but the Democratic incumbent is retiring. In short, there are well over 60 seats where we are vulnerable. We wont lose them all, but losing between 40 and 50 seems very likely.
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BonnieJW Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:28 AM
Response to Original message
18. I think there is a good chance.
Right from the beginning, repugs have been hammering that they had the votes to take over. It makes people think Why bother voting? If people vote, I think we stay right where we are.
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Tatiana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:30 AM
Response to Original message
19. Yes. There are 40+ toss up seats that are really too close to call...
...even though many of the poll averages and analysts have them as likely Republicant.

If our momentum is strong enough going into this election, we'll hold serve. I think we may even get some pleasant surprises in Alaska, Nevada, and Wisconsin.

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notesdev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:35 AM
Response to Original message
20. Almost zero
Here's the ugly facts.... of the seats considered to be in play, 135 of them are currently held by Democrats and 16 by Republicans. Of those 16 GOP seats, only four are toss-up or better for us.

This election is being fought almost entirely on our turf; the only question yet to be decided is how bad the losses will be. I estimate low end around 45 and high end about 75 seats.

The Senate we should keep, by a few votes, not like it matters with the filibuster what it has become.
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jimlup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
21. I personally think that there is a chance. All out for tomorrow!
It will be tight but I personally believe that the democratic numbers will be slightly higher than the mainstream polls anticipate.
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progressoid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
22. Nope.
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 11:01 AM by progressoid
I don't see this as an anti-Democratic vote as an anti-incumbent vote. We have more incumbents so we will likely lose more than they will.

Also, a lot of our recent wins were by slim margins and often in red districts. They will be hard to hold onto.
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we can do it Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:02 AM
Response to Original message
23. I Think We Can, I Think We Can, I Think We Can, I Think We Can
I Think We Can, I Think We Can, I Think We Can
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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:02 AM
Response to Original message
24. If the weather is good in cities and bad in suburbs
There's something like a 16-seat swing that would do it, and that's not big enough to be insurmountable.
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Codeine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
25. Not gonna happen.
We need to count ourselves lucky to still have the Senate and move forward -- 2012 is a new opportunity.
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littlewolf Donating Member (920 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
26. I really don't think so ... again I believe too many vulnerable seats ....
alot of the "blue dog" seats I am afraid are gonna go .....
I believe the Senate is safe ....
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:11 PM
Response to Original message
28. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
AspenRose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:24 PM
Response to Original message
29. Nope
I hope I'm wrong.
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haifa lootin Donating Member (194 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:31 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. I really hate that I must agree with you.
grr
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:26 PM
Response to Original message
30. Sure there is.
For Dems, it's all about turnout. If we could get anything like '08 turnout, we keep it.

The real question is why so many potential Dem voters stay home for anything less than a Presidential election.
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mcar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:39 PM
Response to Original message
32. Possible
not probable, but possible. Keeping good thoughts for a national return to sanity tomorrow.
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Naturyl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:41 PM
Response to Original message
33. Very unlikely.
Tomorrow will not be good for us - unless we choose to use it as a learning opportunity.
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Blasphemer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:50 PM
Response to Original message
34. It seems highly unlikely....
and while a GOP controlled House and a Republican Speaker is a vomit-inducing thought, given the current political and economic climate, holding the Senate is pretty amazing. The country will not concede that the GOP should be running things. Obama will be re-elected and the worse case scenario is a GOP controlled House after 2012. Hopefully, the country will return the House to the Dems in 2012. We shall see.
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:53 PM
Original message
Any chance? Yes. Likely? No.
And woe to us all.
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Ken Burch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:53 PM
Response to Original message
35. There's always a chance. The right has probably hurt itself with all the preemptive gloating
And if the 'Pugs DO take it, I think they may not take it by much.
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ProudToBeBlueInRhody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:58 PM
Response to Original message
36. No
I think the best we can hope for is to keep it under 50. On the Senate side, I think we win WV, IL, WA and CA and the GOTV will pull at least one of the other seats in our favor, likely PA.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 06:58 PM
Response to Original message
37. No
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Tsiyu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:56 PM
Response to Original message
38. I am hoping that the Americans who put Obama in office


realize they have to have his back if anything is to be accomplished.

Perhaps most Americans understand now that Republicans are the party of "no," of Big Business.

So I am hoping that only a few freak Teabaggers are going to get through.

Let's hope I'm right. I will grieve if I'm wrong.


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