Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

It appears there is a significant amount of ignorance on unemployment on here

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:34 PM
Original message
It appears there is a significant amount of ignorance on unemployment on here
Edited on Sat Feb-06-10 07:38 PM by AllentownJake
First reality. The BLS labor statistics are not hard numbers. They are estimates done based on a telephone poll. The weekly numbers to businesses the monthly numbers to workers. They have a model of what they think the labor force is, and they call people till they reach the demographics they are looking for. It works the same as any other poll conducted. The sample is a little bit larger, but same principles. Unemployment payments, actual payroll numbers, or any other thing you will imagine is not included in the BLS calculation. The number you see on the news isn't even the real number. The number is seasonally adjusted to account for industries that only employ people part of the year.

Second reality. The unemployment office in reality is a computer or a telephone. Very few states are actually running unemployment offices where you talk in person to real people. Forget what you saw in history of the world and Seinfeld. All of the work is done on the initial claim, where you may get a phone call with a question, other than that, it is all computers, claims processors, and automated telephone lines. They actually actively discourage you from calling in PA.

Third reality. Unemployment extensions. Very few people don't qualify and it is generally done automatically. From talking to relatives, don't know myself, I'm still on my first 26 weeks.

Fourth reality. The labor market is abysmal. We'll just say the U6 number for January is correct (it isn't). 16% of the people out there are either unemployed, underemployed, or part-time and want to be full-time. So imagine what happens when a job opening is announced. I have a friend in HR, they get a couple hundred applications for each opening.

Fifth reality. If the extended benefits were cut foreclosures would probably double or triple, the recovery would die overnight, the banks would collapse, homelessness and children under state supervision would explode and probably half the states and cities in the union would declare bankruptcy within 2 months the rest to follow within 6. Double dip recession? Shit it would make 1933 look pleasant. We'd probably actually have a French style Revolution or the US government would be required to move troops from Afghanistan into major US cities under martial law.


Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. Buy American. End outsoucing. End offshore accounts. Restore our manufacturing base.
That should be a good start.

And, don't fall for the global bullshit argument ever again.

We have resources, we have brains, we need to lead again in innovation and technology and be willing to pay people for their efforts.

:mad:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. A significant number of the lay offs
Were outsourcing when no one was looking.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. Almost every un-skilled or semi-skilled job I had in the seventies now pays less.
I clearly remember $11.75/hour in 1976 driving a backhoe for a landscaping and underground construction company in Chico, Ca.

My farm experience made me a natural pick for machinery, but all my friends who I got jobs as laborers were paid the same.

In high school (graduated in 74) I had friends who worked at the meatpacking plants and canneries and they were similarly well-paid.

Not anymore, these jobs.

We were snookered, and snookered by Dems and Republican.

Fuckers.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. It was done willingly because people were told they would be rich
Edited on Sat Feb-06-10 08:18 PM by AllentownJake
It was funny, I was watching Cramer on Matthews the other day, and he said, this wasn't supposed to blow up till 2020 way past when I'd be retired.

For one of the few times, I think Jim Cramer told the truth on TV.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. 30 years of Short Term Profits with Long Term Consequences
That is what the Senate Banking Committee is trying to deal with
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. 30 year coke binge with the dealer at the door
asking where his money is.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
endless october Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #1
14. agree.
+1
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
undeterred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
3. Let me tell you what it was like 18 years ago.
In 1991 I had a two month gap between jobs. I didn't know there was such a thing as unemployment compensation. I found out I had to sign up for it in my own area, which for me was in a very depressed neighborhood on the south side of Chicago. People told me not to take my car there as it was likely to be stolen or vandalized. I took the elevated train and walked a couple of blocks in January.

When I got to the office there must have been 200 people in line. I waited 7 hours to see someone face to face. There was no drinking fountain or bathroom or food machines, so I was pretty miserable by the time my turn finally came up. I complained about the circumstances to the clerk and she said "you're a nice white lady, maybe somebody will listen if you complain about it to the right person". She asked me a bunch of questions about the job I lost and when I left I had no idea whether I would get any money or not.

It was exhausting and humiliating. I did collect, but that day was so unpleasant I didn't want to ever have to do it again. The process now involves one phone call to open the claim and the rest can be done by phone or on the internet. Its MUCH BETTER now than it was 20 years ago.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
tonysam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Not to mention the vast majority of the job searches
are done via internet rather than in-person. It is more efficient and saves a HUGE amount of time.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
undeterred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I can remember when I actually typed 100 cover letters
for a job search. And sent them out with resumes. Spent a whole lot of money on stamps and stationery for your resume. And waited at home for the phone to ring. Its mostly easier now.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
tonysam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. It's SO much better
Edited on Sat Feb-06-10 08:09 PM by tonysam
I don't have to get all dressed up and get in my car and try to find the place and THEN make sure I have all of the information I need to fill out the applications.


Only if I go in for an interview would I have to dress up.

What's also great about online job searches is one can just copy and paste the resume and cover letter, and tailoring them for the specific jobs, usually sending them in by email.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
undeterred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. They probably do get a lot more applicants per position, though.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:22 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. and a lot more people that are not even remotely qualified nt.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
leftstreet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
4. K&R
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Walk away Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
5. Because I have my own business I am not eligible to collect unemployment.
I have had several clients collecting during the past two years. One has been out of work for over a year and others for several months. My taxes are paying for the extensions and the supplement to Cobra they have been receiving while my profits have been cut in half. Never the less, I am grateful that these people are slowly but surely finding jobs and coming back on my books. If we can all just hold it together and keep supporting each other we make it through the worst of it.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Well the first 26 weeks were paid for by the state fund, which wasn't taxes
Anything after 26 weeks and Cobra was paid for by your taxes.

The state fund is an insurance fund, premiums are collected from wages and the employer.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
REACTIVATED IN CT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 08:18 AM
Response to Reply #9
18. "premiums are collected from wages and the employer."
That's another way to describe taxes. In the case of non-profits, at least in my state, we don't pay the taxes but we reimburse the state for the benefits our laid off ee's collect.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-06-10 08:34 PM
Response to Original message
15. Recommend and thanks for the info. Nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sat May 04th 2024, 09:27 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC