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How the 2012 Presidential election will play out...

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BolivarianHero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 01:54 PM
Original message
How the 2012 Presidential election will play out...
2010:

GOP makes some slight gains in the House and Senate offset by easy Democratic gubernatorial pick-ups in Vermont, Rhode Island, and Minnesota. Sarah Palin is featured heavily in important GOP races. GOP pundits proclaim decisive victory and that the Obama presidency has been discredited. In Alabama, Bob Riley is term limited, and former chief justice of the state supreme court Roy Moore is able to win a plurality in the open GOP gubernatorial primary. In something of an upset, Moore narrowly defeats his Democratic opponent.

2012:

Conservatives see the routine results of 2009 and 2010 as a decisive victory for their wing of the GOP, and are successfully able to get Sarah Palin nominated for the Presidential ticket. As every competent GOP adviser backed Romney in the primary and every marginally-competent GOP adviser alienated her in 2008, she surrounded herself with religious lunatics and various hard-right sycophants. Following their moranic advice, she picks Alabama governor Roy Moore to be her running mate. Expectedly, they run an embarrassing campaigned characterized by gaffes and by right-wing lunacy. Obama-Biden run a low-key campaign and coast to a landslide that puts Roosevelt to shame. Limbaugh dies of a heart attack, as the clogged arteries coupled with the shock of the results are too much for his system to take, and Beck dies of a broken heart. Palin is discredited, her family life finally falls apart, and she retires lonely and bitter. Moore retires from politics and continues heading right-wing fringe movements that only religious wackos and kooky militia groups give a fuck about.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. this kind of crystal ball gazing is just idiotic
too much can happen between now and 2012. I can tell you flat out that your prediction about VT is off. We have a gubernatorial race next year and if Brian Dubie wins- and a lot of smart analysts here think he will, he'll likely win in 2012 as well.

And anyone who doesn't think that Sarah Palin can, under the right circumstances, win the presidency, is just wrong.
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knightinwhitesatin Donating Member (266 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. If Sarah Palin wins
then the Mayans got it right.
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livetohike Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. Welcome to DU!
:hi:
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knightinwhitesatin Donating Member (266 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Thanks I'll try to be polite
even if you are a Steelers fan......;-)
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elocs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. In 2005 who would ever have predicted how 2008 would turn out?
:shrug:
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. All I know is how 2011 will play out...
Health Insurance Reform, Round 2 will take place as Congress scrambles to undo the damage from the 2009 "reform" package.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes and in 2006 Hillary Clinton was an unstoppable force
Edited on Fri Nov-27-09 02:07 PM by AllentownJake
and destined for the Presidency.

In 2005 the current President himself wasn't even entertaining a Presidential run.

Rudy Guilianni was a big time contender one of the top 2 candidates

Keep speculating on the future of 2012, it is about as productive as Mayan prophecy.
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GreenStormCloud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think you have your crystal ball set to see your daydreams, not to the future.
Edited on Fri Nov-27-09 02:13 PM by GreenStormCloud
Three years is a lifetime in politics. In 1977, nobody gave Reagan any serious consideration. In 1980, he trounced Carter so badly that Carter conceded while the polls were still open in the Western states.

Personally, I do not consider Palin to be a signifigant force either, but then I didn't consider Reagan to be a signifigant force in 1977.
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Libertas1776 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:15 PM
Response to Original message
6. "Coast to a landslide that puts Roosevelt to shame"
Uh, I don't know about that one. I don't see the Obama-Biden ticket raking in a difference of 523 electoral votes to GOP opponents 8.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
7. I think we will pick up California and Hawaii governorships
and lose Michigan, Oklahoma and Tennessee and perhaps a few others that do not come to mind right now.

Arizona is also a possible pickup. Even Rasmussen has Goddard ahead of Brewer.
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Ishoutandscream2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
8. You know that there's some humor here
Some of you really need to lighten up.
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JohnnyLib2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Whew, I'm relieved.

That will be a good way for the world to end, eh?
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peace frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
10. All of the above are possible
with these exceptions: Limbaugh dies of a heart attack,,,and Beck dies of a broken heart.
Neither of these two zombies has a heart to break. Otherwise, your speculations are as good as any at this time.

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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
12. Thanks for the chuckle
Edited on Fri Nov-27-09 03:01 PM by HughMoran
I wonder if those who criticize it actually read it - very funny :)
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livetohike Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-27-09 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
14. In 2012 Palin wins the GOP nomination and then quits before
election day :-).
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