Why Barack Obama will win re-election?

[kentuck]

Because of Sarah Palin and Sarah Palin voters.

They hate Barack Obama with a passion but they have disconnected from the Republican Party. Sarah Palin is the only candidate they will support. If she is not the candidate, they will not participate.

They lost faith in the Republican Party after 8 years of George W Bush. They will not be easily led back into the flock. Sarah Palin is different. They can support her.

The Republicans have big eyes looking at the prize in 2012. Unfortunately, the most popular Republican is Sarah Palin. But the Republican establishment have no intention of putting Sarah Palin on the ticket in 2012. Therein lies their dilemma. It is the Palin voters that will not be convinced without Sarah.

[Deep13]

1. Also...

The recession will be over, people will be back at work and the dollar will be stronger.

Health insurance reform will be law.

The Iraq war will be over.

That 9/11 mastermind guy will be convicted.

[Gman2]

2. You make that sound like a good thing. A littel too rosy, but nice.

[no limit]

3. Can you also tell me what lottery numbers I should play 3 years from now?

Much appreciated.

[WI_DEM]

4. The main reason is that it is probable that by 2012 the recession will be over and unemployment

dropping. That is how Reagan did it in '84. People forget that Mondale was actually beating St. Ronnie in January, 1983 in the polls while the recession was on and his approval rating was under 50%. But the economy by November of 1984 was grwoing and unemployment dropped from a high of about 12% to around 8%, still high, but going in the right direction. If these conditions exist in 2012 for President Obama he will be easily re-elected no matter who the GOP nominee is.

[RufusTFirefly]

5. Don't be so smug

My mother sounded similarly confident in the 60s about the unlikelihood of a Reagan presidency.

And, of course, we had Idiot Boy "elected" on the heels of a huge budget surplus.

[ixion]

6. I voted for Obama, however

at this point I won't be voting for him in 2012, no sir.

I won't vote for Palin, of course, because she's an idiot and ideologue. But I WILL NOT support the continuation of Bush-era policies and call that change.

And this argument that "we've got it locked up because we suck less than the GOP" is a house of cards that will not stand in the long run.

[AllentownJake]

7. Let us worry about 2010 mmmk nt

[Sinti]

8. I hope he doesn't win on the weakness of the opposition

In my view, that would be horribly sad. He could always win by actually implementing good policy that people want to continue - it's more effective, and much cheaper.

[LWolf]

9. He's been in office less than a year.

Why are you worried about re-election already?

[kentuck]

11. I'm not worried about it..

I was just stating my opinion since there is so much talk about whether Palin will be the Repub nominee and whether she can win, etc... Just my perspective. You are free to ignore it.

[LWolf]

12. Of course.

I'm continuously frustrated by this:

We can't focus on issues during campaigns, especially if candidates have poor positions on those issues. We can only campaign. We'll talk about issues AFTER the campaign.

We can't focus on issues right after the campaign, because those elected NEED MORE TIME to address issues.

We can't focus on issues when we've given them time, because there's always another campaign right around the corner.

When we DO talk about issues, we have to be careful not to undermine our team, even when they're headed the wrong direction.

Lather, rinse, repeat.


Issues are always secondary to campaigning. Our party, and our nation, would be a better place if issues came first.

[SteppingRazor]

10. I don't really buy that. Most Kucinich and Dean voters held their noses and voted for Kerry.

Palin voters will do the same when they're rolled over in the Republican primary. (And they will be -- Sarah Palin has no money and no friends, and that's what wins elections, not voters.)

Not that I'm comparing Kucinich voters to Palin voters in any way except marginalization from the mainstream of their respective parties.