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The fear that if we leave Afghanistan, the Taliban will take over and then go after Pakistan-------

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trumad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 11:54 AM
Original message
The fear that if we leave Afghanistan, the Taliban will take over and then go after Pakistan-------
is quite laughable.

If I'm not mistaken---before we invaded Afghanistan, the Taliban controlled the whole country.

Question: Why didn't they go after Pakistan then?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
1. It is no different an argument than Iraq's 'WMD's' falling into the hands
of terrorists. Baseless and fear-mongering.
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trumad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 11:58 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Picking apart the reasons wy we are they
uncovers the absurdity of why we are there.

It makes no sense at all.
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C_Lawyer09 Donating Member (690 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Actually in fact it's hugely different
Being as how Iraq had no WMD, and Pakistan has a bunch of nukes.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. But, there is not significant risk of the nukes falling into terrorist hands.
The Taliban will not take over Pakistan. Period.
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C_Lawyer09 Donating Member (690 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I won't argue that
But I've read a lot of conflicting theory on both sides. Of course I don't know either argument for a fact. I did read something that agrees with what you say on common dreams
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #7
27. Take it over in the sense that they'll control every inch of it and run the show?
Then you're right, the Taliban aren't capable of it. But then again, that's not what they have to accomplish in order to gain access to nuclear weapons. All they really have to do is create enough hate, discontent, and chaos for the government to implode in on itself and then go from there.
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
26. Is it baseless?
The Taliban advanced to within 70 miles of the Pakistani capital (during a truce, no less). I'm not sure how one can say there's no real threat.
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Wilms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
3. No, silly.
We have to keep bombing Afghanistan so that bearded men can't use the caves.

Ya know, you need to hang out in those caves in order to plan using planes to blow up buildings.

No caves = No attacks. Right?

I thought you would have known that. :shrug:

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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:17 AM
Response to Reply #3
16. LOL
:rofl:
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C_Lawyer09 Donating Member (690 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
4. Not defending current policy
But there are strong arguments for the Pakistani nuclear security, but the reality is this is an extension of the containment policy that is the foundation of both Iraq and Afghanistan, regardless of how the deployments were sold to the American public. Late 70's, Zbigniew Brzezinski President Carter's National Security Adviser. I say we focus more effort and money on Pakistan, with a lot lighter physical footprint.
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:14 PM
Response to Original message
5. No, no, no. The Taliban will rebuild it's massive navy and storm Atlantic City.
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” H.L. Mencken
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. The Taliban has always been in Pakistan
I've always thought you were a bit more reality based. Read Three Cups of Tea. There are better means to work in the region than war, but there is reason and Pakistan having nukes is one of them.
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mulsh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
10. According to Ahmend Rashid's book Taliban Pakistan funded and
provided important support to the Taliban through out its history. I think its a safe bet that some of the strongest supporters of the Taliban are very much involved in Pakistan's current government.

The question should be since Pakistan's early and continued support is well known why are western nations supporting Pakistan? Press conference and PBS interview antics aside I believe Ms. Clinton has delivered an unambiguous message to the current regime over there.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:21 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. The ISI funded the Taliban. The Pakistani government
has been at war with itself for quite a while. One faction has been using both the Afghan Taliban and the local one as a wedge. And it gets more complicated from there.

And Hillary's message is a little over the top considering that the corrupt thugs we're backing are every bit as corrupt as the corrupt thugs we're not backing. But I'm sure that at the State Department they think that the American public has been reassured about our position on corruption. :)
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:40 PM
Response to Reply #10
28. There are undoubtedly elements within the Pakistani government who are supportive of the Taliban
However, it is also undoubtedly true that the Pakistani government has taken serious steps to confront the Taliban in the last year.
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Tejas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. Try reading a few Pashtun message boards, I believe
you'll see that US presence has had a positive effect on their morale/fortitude and they are on the verge of seriously doing something about the Taliban.
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:42 PM
Response to Reply #11
29. The bloodthirstiness of the Taliban
is undermining their cause, just as the bloodthirstiness of al-Qaeda in Iraq undermined their cause before it.
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Xithras Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 01:29 PM
Response to Original message
12. The answer to that is no secret.
The Pakistani ISI not only provided resources to the Taliban, they helped them to maintain power over Afghanistan. Why? Two reasons. First, the Pakistani's were tired of the constant inflow of refugees from Afghanistan and wanted the civil war there to end. They really didn't care too much how it happened, they just wanted it over. Secondly, when the realization that the new Afghanistan was a fundamentalist state set in, they took advantage of it as a way to bleed off some of their own fundamentalist populace. Pakistan was a secular country, and Pakistani fundamentalist Muslims had the ability to move to Afghanistan, settle at almost no cost, and live in the kind of lifestyle they wanted.

The Taliban viewed Pakistan as a source of money, citizens that fit their "ideals", and manufactured goods that they couldn't import any other way. They had established a peace agreement, and established a balance of power.

It is extremely improbable that any such peace treaty could be worked out today. The Taliban were deposed because Pakistan let the U.S. utilize their country as a a means of access to Afghanistan, and the Pakistanis themselves have arrested and exectuted thousands of Taliban fighters. The Taliban see the Pakistanis as traitors and will not seek peace with them again.
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donco Donating Member (717 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-15-09 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
13. Hhmm…kinda sounds like the domino theory to me.
Now where did I hear of that before? Oh, I remember, it was something that was said before I went to Viet Nam.
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #13
30. You don't consider the threat to Pakistan real? Because the Pakistani govt. sure seems to.
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:13 AM
Response to Original message
14. Doesn't Pakistan have an Army?
:crazy:
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:24 AM
Response to Reply #14
18. Pakistani army has been engaged in real fighting against their local Taliban
for some weeks now. The displaced civilians are now in the millions.
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Sheesh.
What a freaken mess huh?
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:15 AM
Response to Original message
15. There are two groups of Taliban. One is loosely Afghani.
Edited on Mon Nov-16-09 01:16 AM by EFerrari
The other is Pakistani. They are not the same people.

But it laughable because the Taliban was never defeated in Afghanistan and they've been back for years now.

Pakistan does have a problem with their Taliban but it isn't the same problem.
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:31 AM
Response to Original message
19. Pakistan is the one that supported the Taliban
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Lydia Leftcoast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 01:31 AM
Response to Original message
20. Back in the 1960s, we called it the Domino Theory
Funny thing, though. Thailand had Communist guerrillas, but they never made much headway.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 03:04 PM
Response to Original message
22. Because they are already in Northwest Pakistan.
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optimator Donating Member (606 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
23. we have no right to meddle
the only thing that should concern us is physical defense of our country, which there is no threat.
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Vincardog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:09 PM
Response to Original message
24. The Taliban took over in Afghanistan after we failed to deliver the economic support we promised
after they threw the Russians out.
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YouTakeTheSkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:34 PM
Response to Original message
25. Short answer?
Your argument is based on the assumption that the situation in Pakistan today is comparable to the situation in Pakistan in the 1990s and, quite frankly, that isn't the case. In the 1990s, the Taliban generally didn't slaughter Pakistani civilians because they had agreements worked out with Pakistan's notoriously corrupt security forces. However, in the last several years, many of those agreements have fallen by the wayside. Efforts to create new ones between the Pakistani govt. and the Pakistani Taliban have failed miserably, as the Taliban refused to abide by them and continued to take over new territories.

...so what can I say? I strongly disagree with your position. If the U.S. were to suddenly pull out of Afghanistan, that would draw Pakistan into an prolonged war, which might very well result in the government's collapse.
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Ozymanithrax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-16-09 06:49 PM
Response to Original message
31. The Taliban was closely linked and allied with Pakistan. Pakistan supported the Taliban...
Edited on Mon Nov-16-09 06:50 PM by Ozymanithrax
in a big way with money and arms. The Pakistani secret service was especially close to the Taliban, and was reported to have rescued many of the Afghan Taliban leadership in in 2002.

But the fear, as you stated is not that the Taliban will take over and go after Pakistan. Afghanistan has never had a military capable of doing that. The fear is that the Taliban will reopen Afghanistan as a staging ground for religious terrorists. Pakistan, who is having considerable problems with their own religious extremists would probably consider it in their interests to pay off the government of Afghanistan to pacify their own Taliban based revolution. Or Afghanistan could provide support and supplies to the Pakistani Taliban who could overthrow the government of Pakistan. The Northern Alliance is not better, they are also religious extremists, they are just our religious extremists. But the majority of the people of Afghanistan don't like the Northern Alliance.
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