Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

538 shows how little local funding the NY-23 Conservative Party Candidate received:

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-02-09 12:07 PM
Original message
538 shows how little local funding the NY-23 Conservative Party Candidate received:
11.01.2009
Local vs. National Conservative Grassroots
by Nate Silver @ 9:32 PM

Although Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman can credibly claim to have become a "fan favorite" among conservative activists nationwide, the situation is somewhat different in NY-23 itself. According to reports filed with the FEC that cover contributions through October 14th, Hoffman had raised only $12,610 from among 23 itemized donations within NY-23. This contrasts with Democrat Bill Owens, who had raised $151,520 from 245 itemized contributions within the district, and (to a lesser extent) with Dede Scozzafava, who raised $36,100 between 58 donations.



This analysis may lowball Hoffman's numbers somewhat, since it doesn't account for about $35,000 in unitemized contributions, some of which may come from NY-23, nor for any fundraising that Hoffman has done within the last two weeks (although the same is true of Scozzafava and Owens). And being unaffiliated with a major party, Hoffman obviously lacks some of the infrastructural advantages that a Democrat or a Republican might have. Conservative PACs, individual conservatives from across the country, and Hoffman himself are throwing plenty of money into this race on Hoffman's behalf -- so the cashflow hasn't really been a problem for him.

Still, this in some ways mirrors the situation in Maine, in which the No on 1 (pro-gay marriage) side has received a dramatically larger number of contributions from within the state. In both races, there are some rather significant differences between the pollsters, some of which project disproportionate turnout among conservatives while others do not. Obviously, conservatives are feeling pretty empowered at the national level -- but how will it translate into local politics? We won't really know until Tuesday -- but there is potentially something of a disconnect between projections of conservatives flooding the polls and these fundraising totals.

-snip

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/11/local-vs-national-conservative.html

INTERESTING!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Dennis Donovan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-02-09 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. That should royally piss off the people in NY-23!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Ozymanithrax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-02-09 12:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. The Whiggization of the Republican Party is occuring right before our eyes...
I'll be Pallin is having a Whiggasm.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Wed Apr 24th 2024, 06:06 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC