Tropical Storm Erika

[malaise]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200906.html

Moving slowly

[Warpy]

1. Seems to be blowing up faster than anticipated

The latest pic on NOAA shows the storm with a small but definite eye.

[malaise]

6. The problem is that there is no consensus on where

Erika is heading. Just start watching for now - the five day tracking suggests that she won't reach hurricane strength.

[monmouth]

2. One of those lines was directed at the West Palm area...Whoa...

Sorry, www.pbpost.com has a great map also with possible lines of direction for Erika.

[kestrel91316]

4. Just great. My niece moved there a couple of weeks ago. Sigh.

[monmouth]

5. Palm Beach Atlantic???

[malaise]

It's too early to predict but unless something drastic happens

I don't see how this makes East Coast Florida.

[OmmmSweetOmmm]

3. She's huge.

[malaise]

7. She looks big but there isn't much punch

SO FAR :D

[Are_grits_groceries]

9. It's heading for SC!

We haven't been in the news much.

[malaise]

12. LOL Say what?

It may mash up before there - so I've heard. We'll see - depends on whether Erika continues to slow down.

[Are_grits_groceries]

13. If Mark hears that Erika is coming,

he'll camp out at the beach and wait for her.

[malaise]

14. As long as he's not

'splaining it all to us :rofl:

[w8liftinglady]

8. Malaise,do you have this link?

http://www.beaumontweather.com/
lots of cool hurricane info

[malaise]

10. Yes w8liftinglady

It is a great link,but it doesn't include my favorite site - weather underground.

[spanone]

11. k&r....

[Baclava]

15. FL east coasters might get a sprinkle out of this one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0609W5_NL_sm2+gif/204712W5_NL_sm.gif

[malaise]

16. Notice that Erika has been moving West all day

Well moving is a stretch at 1mph.

Erika will now pass either South of PR or go right through. Yesterday they said Erika would pass north of PR.

[Name removed]

17. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Are_grits_groceries]

18. She's stalking her prey.

When she decides, whammo! Cat 5, and somebody is doomed.

[malaise]

19. Well she sure has us interested

She's moving West again and not going through PR. The good news is that she's weakened but the kind of rain associated with Erika will mash up Haiti again and while we need some serious rain, something tells me that if Erika has a clear Mona passage, she will strengthen and cause trouble somewhere up the line.

[Are_grits_groceries]

20. She had a regular hurricane path.

Then the next time I looked she was moseying around. Window shopping or something.

[malaise]

21. Well if you look at her history graphic

it is very different from the tracking graphics. She has mostly been veering West rather than WNW as predicted and apparently the experts continue to insist that she will head WNW. I don't get it but then I am no expert.

[Obamanaut]

22. Gone.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Are_grits_groceries]

23. I'm not sure I have ever seen one

just drop off the map like that.

[Obamanaut]

24. Many years ago (1968 - 69) I flew in a weather recon squadron out

of Guam, using the WC 121 Constellation. We would do penetrations of the storm at midnight, stand off for a distance and do another one at 6 am. One wanna be tropical storm/typhoon did that. We went in at midnight, and watched on our radar as it just went slowly away. Gone at 6.

[malaise]

25. Lots of rain with the system approaching

DR and Haiti. It sure has weakened but we're still watching the remnants.

[Obamanaut]

26. Little or no concern by National Hurricane Center

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*)
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2009 Tropical Weather Discussion
805 AM EDT SAT SEP 05 2009


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
-----------------

You did note that my anecdote was from the late 1960's. It was put there to show that sometimes s TD or TS can just fizzle. The one a couple of weeks ago that went up the west coast of Fla went from from tropical storm to tropical depression to a mere disturbance and then went away somewhere in Georgia.

[malaise]

27. There are no tropical cyclones but as Steve Lyons just said there

is serious rain in PR as I type, and they can expect another six hours which will lead to flooding.

----
Re your anecdote - there are other stories of Tropical storms and depressions that appeared to fizzle and found open water later and reorganized.
As we approach mid-September - keep one eye on all systems or their remnants.

[KharmaTrain]

28. Get Ready Malaise...

This one may be coming your way and looks like it has plenty of water to keep it fueled. I know you know "the drill" by now...just want you to be safe and dry.

:hi:

[malaise]

29. We need the rain big time

Looks like only water and having just checked out the remnants, this may be a bigger problem for DR and Haiti. The Bahamas and Florida need to keep an eye on the remnants.

Thanks KharmaTrain :hi:

Remember there's another one off the African coast and I read on BBC this morning that there is severe flooding in West Africa.
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