The clock is ticking.
http://www.watchingamerica.com/kommersant000023.shtmlMarch 26. 2007
The Iranian nuclear crisis unfolds, interspersed with long pauses during which the international community mulls each succeeding step. But the situation as this latest pause begins is far more ominous that previous ones. The latest U.N. Security Council resolution gives the world two months to catch its breath before an even more difficult decision will be necessary, and no one doubts how events will unfold. The question of whether Tehran will agree to the international community's demands within 60 days can be answered today: no.
The two-month period stipulated in resolution 1747 is not time that the great powers have given Iran - whose centrifuges will continue to spin as quickly as ever. It is time that the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council have given themselves to morally and materially prepare for the approaching showdown. Moscow insists that the Security Council is based on
Article 41 of the United Nations Charter , which mentions only economic pressure. But this doesn’t mean Tehran enjoys a writ of safe conduct.
It's no coincidence that on the eve of the vote on the new Security Council resolution, Pentagon chief Robert Gates said despite America's over five year military involvement in Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. retains the power for another major military campaign. Understandably, Iran was on his mind. This was a response to those who believe that the United States is too bogged in neighboring countries to wrangle with Iran.
Ironically, no other world leader has done as much to strengthen Iran's position in the world as has George W. Bush. By removing the main regional counterweight to Shiite Iran in the form of Saddam Hussein's regime, the U.S. dramatically increased Iran's role in the Near and Middle East. And within Iran itself, the rise of leaders like Mahmoud Ahmedinejad would not likely have been possible without the harsh anti-Iran rhetoric of George Bush. President Bush is like the Taras Bulba of his age (the Cossack general in a novel by Nikolai Gogol), who was left with nothing to do but cry out, "I raised you, and I will kill you." By creating Ahmadinejad, President Bush has proven the irrationality of his actions. And President Ahmadinejad, who apparently wants to ram his head into a stone wall and make himself into a Shiite martyr, has proven himself equally irrational. These two do not allow for rational decision-making, making war in Iran inevitable.