Robert Creamer
Posted January 8, 2009 | 08:30 AM (EST)
How Globalization Set the Stage for the 2008 Economic Collapse
The extent of the 2008 economic collapse surprised and shocked the conventional wisdom in Washington and on Wall Street. But in hindsight, a good case can be made that the massive globalization of labor and financial markets, coupled with "free markets uber alles" policies, formed a toxic mixture that made the collapse inevitable. Here's why:
1). The globalization of labor markets -- and especially the outsourcing of once high paying jobs to low-wage economies - drove down incomes in the United States and western Europe. That effect might have been tempered by the growth of unions and by trade agreements that protected labor rights. But the right wing assault on unions in the United States--and the passage of trade deals that protected the rights of capital and did nothing to protect the incomes of average workers--allowed real incomes for most Americans to drop, especially in the last eight years. In fact, all of the economic growth of the last eight years went to the wealthiest 2% of the population.
Stagnating incomes led the Central Banks in Europe and the U.S. to encourage massive increases in consumer credit to fuel the economy. Without all that new consumer debt, the economy would have tanked years ago. Long-term economic growth requires that there are more and more people who have more and more money to buy products and services. Otherwise, businesses won't invest in new plants and equipment and hire new workers, since no one will have the money to buy their products.
The terrible consequences of shrinking incomes were also staved off by rising home prices. This allowed average people to borrow more and more against the rising equity of their homes.
But all of this new consumer and home equity debt created a giant "house of cards." It masked the underlying sickness of the economy for a while. As long as the economy continued to grow enough to create a net increase in jobs - and as long as housing prices rose - things were rickety but continued to hang together. But as soon as the economy began to contract, and housing prices fell, the whole construction came tumbling down in a heap
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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-creamer/how-globalization-set-the_b_156172.html