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In the linked thread, I posted that resolution of this stand off might not depend on the US Atty for DC bringing a prosecution for contempt of congress. In making this statement, I relied on descriptions of a couple of cases referenced in the CRS report on executive privilege. This morning I actually pulled out those cases and read them and I must retract my earlier statement. The CRS description of these cases made it sound like the validity of the exec priv claim made it court through a motion to quash (in one case) and through a declaratory ruling motion (in the other). In fact, after reading them, it turns out the court declined to hear the declatory ruling motion, choosing instead to allow the contempt process to work its way out first and the motion to quash didn't actually involve a claim of exec. privilege.
So I withdraw my earlier comment and now stand with those who believe that if (and I'm still dubious it will come to this) neither side backs down, the ultimate resolution would be for Congress to hold miers and rove in contempt and for a prosecution to be commenced in which miers and rove claim executive privilege as an affirmative defense.
As noted, I have my doubts that it will come to this. Also, this is by no means a slam dunk for the Democrats -- executive privilege law is murky and while there are plenty of arguments to be made why it shouldn't apply to these facts (and I agree with those arguments), there are arguments on the other side and the burden is likely to be on the Democrats to overcome a presumption that communications relating to the use of the president's appointment power are privileged. I have no doubt that this presumption would be rebutted if this was a case, like US v Nixon, where the subpoenas were issued not by Congress, but by a prosecutor in a case where indictments already had been handed down. However, its harder to predict the outcome on the facts presented.
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