Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

some may not like to hear this but

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
DividedWeAre Donating Member (101 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:32 PM
Original message
some may not like to hear this but
i think that 30-40 percent of the money made in the stock market the last few years is bubble money.. just like 30-40 percent of the money lost by Enron investors was bubble money.. just like 30-40 percent of the money made on the Internet bubble of the 1990's was bubble money. that is to say - it never really existed. if it stays around 40 percent in losses, then it will be noted as a massive correction. if it goes further (we are close), then it starts to eat into the real value and the fan gets covered in crap and all of this panic becomes justified.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
1. I kind of get you...
But the money really did exist. It's the profits that they were building on the core investments that went poof...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. Just don't turn the fan on.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DividedWeAre Donating Member (101 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. well, that's a good point
well, that's a good point. where does the crap reside before it hits the fan and who tosses it in the first place? perhaps if we knew that, we could root out te core evil of this situation and other situations as well.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
The_Casual_Observer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. Well spoken. Same with housing prices.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
iiibbb Donating Member (658 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. The market will eventually correct. "The worst time to get off a roller coaster is when it's moving
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Incitatus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message
5. In the Internet bubble some companies were trading at ridiculously high P/Es
Edited on Thu Oct-09-08 11:39 PM by Incitatus
Now there are a lot of good companies trading at low P/Es. I think a lot of companies are way oversold. Where in the Internet bubble they were way overvalued to begin with.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
garlicmilkshake Donating Member (219 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message
6. Stocks are just like "fine art"...they are worth what someone is willing to pay for them,
not a cent more. A Picasso has zero intrinsic value (like diamonds which are 'valuable' only because enough people THINK they are) but it has speculative value...the hope some other sucker will pay more for it at a later date.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message
7. Yep
And the one's who walked away a year ago and never looked back are king.

Today the only way to play is to buy food stocks.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. Consumers funded these companies....
Edited on Thu Oct-09-08 11:47 PM by TwoSparkles
...with money that they did not have.

There is a massive bubble. Huge. Inside it is borrowed dollars that people never had.

People wildly used credit cards--and they purchased anything and everything they wanted.

People used store credit cards--pumping up retail chains, furniture stores, Target, Walmart, Home Depot,
Pier One, etc. People financed expensive cars that they couldn't afford. Hey! Why not buy a 40,000
car when you can finance it for seven years!

People used their homes like ATM machines. They didn't just borrow to add on a new room. Oh no...they
took out that money for more Pottery Barn, lavish vacations and big-screen tvs.

This country is fucked. I'm sorry for the language, but I see no way out of this--other than a massive
POP of an unsustainable bubble.

People say it won't be another Depression. This will be DIFFERENT than the Depression. Maybe worse.
Who knows. But we know that in 1929--when the bubble popped, people weren't living off of credit
cards and trying to maintain a 4,000 square-foot house and 2 $500 car payments and up to their necks
in rampant consumerism.

This is going to be a seismic event. I don't see how we avoid a complete economic catastrophe.

The party is o-VER. Welcome to the hangover.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
winga222 Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:44 PM
Response to Original message
10. If you're not selling or retiring soon, it's a little less scary
Don't get me wrong - I'm spooked. But I'm only 46 and work in advertising (from which no one retires - we die at our desks), so I can just sort of watch in horror but stay removed. People who are within a couple of years of "cashing out" are screwed. Daytraders and the like, I feel no sympathy for. They're just gamblers, just like all those youngsters who watched TLC and HGTV and thought "flipping houses" was their way to retire by 40. Sorry, life doesn't work like that. And shouldn't.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MichaelHarris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:45 PM
Response to Original message
11. that means
I lost around 3000 bubble dollars today. I feel better knowing that.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TechBear_Seattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-09-08 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
12. Stocks used to be about fundamentals. Since the 80s, it has become all about speculation
People used to buy stocks as a long term investment. Return on the investment came in the form of dividends, which are a distribution of the company's profits. Nowadays, people buy stocks as a very short term investment, expecting that the perceived value will go up in a month or two and they can sell at the new price. Not only is this a very risky proposal, few companies pay dividends any more because investor demand is that stock prices be propped up; companies are forced to take their profits and try to build the company up far beyond what it can manage.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu May 02nd 2024, 11:50 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC