My Candidate Can Produce 270 Electoral Votes; Yours Can't

[CorpGovActivist]

If you vote in this poll, please list out the state(s) your choice would flip, and provide a rationale for that flip (e.g., poll data welcome).

To level the playing field, all voters in this poll are working off the same map: the 2004 Electoral College map.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:US_presidential_election_2004_map.svg

Candidates are listed in the order that they appeared on stage last night, left to right.

- Dave

[mckara]

1. Biden Can Flip...

Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Iowa, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia, West Virginia, and Florida!

[CorpGovActivist]

2. Thanks for the List...

... any polls you'd like to include to help others evaluate it?

Thanks!

- Dave

[lyonn]

5. I suspect even Okla.,

since there is much grumbling going on politically here lately.

[CorpGovActivist]

16. Any Poll Data? Thanks! n/t

[mother earth]

3. No contest, it's Edwards all the way.

:kick:

[CorpGovActivist]

4. If You Don't Mind...

... please list out the state(s) you see him flipping, and provide any data you'd like others to evaluate when weighing your list.

Thanks!

- Dave

[JohnLocke]

22. Edwards can win the following states.

All the states Kerry won (including N.H.), plus:

*Certainly Ohio, West Virginia, all of Minnesota, New Mexico.
*Probably Iowa, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, Arizona
*Maybe even Virginia, Nevada, and Arkansas.

[CorpGovActivist]

23. Thanks for Tiering the Likelihood...

... you see.

I have a bone or two to pick with you about your treatises, Mr. Locke. (Not the content, just how often they were required reading.)

; )

- Dave

[Rydz777]

6. I'm holding out for Gore (who could sweep the electoral map) but

I voted for Dodd because no one else had and I rather like the guy. Dodd could probably win the general but he is not going to get the nomination.

[CorpGovActivist]

7. Which States...

... do you think Dodd would have the best chance of flipping?

Thanks!

- Dave

[ThomWV]

13. Start on the Atlantic coast and move to the left - that's which states

[CorpGovActivist]

14. Reagan/Mondale?

Nearest to repeating George Washington's feat ever. You think Gore could flip it to the mirror image?

- Dave

[LoZoccolo]

8. 31 votes and 1 substantive response.

lol

[CorpGovActivist]

9. If Wishes Were Puppies and Facts Were Puppy Food...

... there'd be some starving puppies around here.

; )

- Dave

[LoZoccolo]

10. Double lol! n/t

[book_worm]

11. probably Edwards. Wasn't there a poll out of Ohio just this week

that showed Edwards leading Rudy there by six-points while he and Hillary and Obama were neck and neck? If we win everything we won in '04 and can add Ohio we win.

[CorpGovActivist]

12. The Quinnipiac University Poll

Homepage: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml

This is the one you're referencing, I think: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1321.xml

- Dave

[Selatius]

20. That seems to add more evidence that Edwards could flip Ohio for us if he gets the nod.

You can see my post further down the thread with the Rasmussen poll.

[CorpGovActivist]

15. 41 Votes, but...

... precious little data.

Come on, don't be shy. Share some poll data with fellow DUers. Go out on a limb. Politics is participatory, and we all learn more when more of us speak up.

- Dave

[jlake]

17. I think That Biden, Clinton, Richardson and Edwards Can all flip enough states.

Though Biden could handily win all but a handful of states, with a massive popular vote victory.

[CorpGovActivist]

18. Any Poll Data...

... you'd like other DUers to look at to evaluate that?

Thanks!

- Dave

[Selatius]

19. Edwards could likely flip Ohio and Florida.

Rasmussen's last poll on the issue showed Edwards doing the best against any combo of Repub candidates, by as much as double-digit margins.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/political_commentary/commentary_by_douglas_schoen/behind_the_horse_race_numbers_edwards_strongest_democrat_in_general_election_match_ups

[CorpGovActivist]

21. Rasmussen Correctly Called Some Close Races in 2006...

... it was one source I liked a lot. I'd be curious to see if they did a post-mortem analysis of their "week before" predictions' accuracy.

You might find these polls of polls interesting, too: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=2304652&mesg_id=2304652

- Dave

[CorpGovActivist]

24. 56 Votes and a Trend...

... is emerging.

- Dave