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Edited on Mon Nov-05-07 09:56 AM by calipendence
If you define it by the narrow definition on whether it will get Bush and cronies out of office, then yes, it *might* fail, and if that is the only objective of those who pursue it, then the others will push them to not do it at all.
But if you define success for impeachment process as:
1) Giving good senators and congress people the opportunity to show that they are adherents to constitutional law and are principled enough to actively defend it by pursuing impeachment, then, whether it is successful or not, it will be helpful in those who follow the law to show that they are government officials that believe in the rule of law, which not only helps their standing with citizens of the United States, but also their standing with others around the world. They can become successful by pursuing impeachment.
2) Forcing those senators that might vote against it to *go on record* as to whether they support the constitution and will impeach a president and other members of his administration for committing impeachable acts. These are individuals, whether they be Democrats or Republicans, that we want to push out of government and replace with those who do believe in the rule of law. They are winning at this point by impeachment not being pursued, as they can always claim one way or the other on whether they would have voted for impeachment if it were to come to a vote in the future if they aren't forced to do so in reality. Most of these folks would be Republicans, and therefore pursuing impeachment (whether a conviction is achieved or not) would be successful in pushing these people out of office if their voting constituents are then able to understand that they are more in government for power's sake rather than upholding the rule of law.
3) Bush and his cronies, whether they are convicted in the Senate or not, will have the black mark of impeachment on their record, which IS achievable by a simple majority vote in the House, where we do have the votes to do so, unless there again we have certain Democrats that SHOULD be exposed for not ruling in the favor of the rule of law and made vulnerable in 2008 by doing so. The sooner the better, so that they can be replaced in primaries and not the general election. If Bush is impeached, that also can help courts restrain him and other individuals from pursuing political or legal office subsequently, which would be a big win! Perhaps could also lead to them being incarcerated, if the impeachment trials were to yield enough evidence for them to be prosecuted in regular courts afterwards for war crimes, etc. Again, a win/win situation!
Now if we actually convict them, we get them out of office and we win in many other ways. If we don't convict, we expose those lawmakers that SHOULD be exposed, and also taint those in the administration now both with their reputations and their careers/lives later after they leave office. A Win/Win situation.
Not pursuing impeachment only empowers both the administration and those that would vote against impeachment, and that is why we are losing on votes such as the one approving Mukasey! Because these people are made to feel bold to continue to centralize the power to this criminal administration! Not doing anything is what is the failure.
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