By Ginger Thompson and Brian Knowlton Published: October 24, 2007
WASHINGTON: President George W. Bush issued a stern warning Wednesday that the United States will not accept a political transition in Cuba in which power merely shifts from one Castro brother to another rather than to the Cuban people.
"The day is coming when the Cuban people will chart their own course," Bush said. Their new direction, he added, should be toward democracy.
But Cuba specialists said the president's warning seemed oddly timed and his analysis outdated, part of a policy that is meant to isolate Cuba but that increasingly leaves the United States as the international odd man out.
Bush's remarks, delivered at the State Department, constituted an unbending response to the political changes that began in Cuba more than a year ago, when Fidel Castro, 81, underwent surgery and handed power to his brother, Raúl, 76.
While administration officials said Bush's speech was aimed at the Cuban people, and would be heard by radio there, it appeared equally directed at the Cuban-Americans who form a powerful Republican voting bloc in Florida, and more broadly at U.S. conservatives, for whom fervent opposition to Fidel Castro has long been an article of faith.
Bush's speech amounted to a call for Cubans to continue to resist. Addressing the military and police, he said they would have a place in a "new Cuba."
White House officials said that Bush was not calling for armed rebellion, but was merely reminding Cubans "that they have the power to shape their destiny."
moreOctober 24, 2007 01:09 PM ET | Erbe , Bonnie | Permanent Link
How many times has President Bush raised the specter (whether veiled or not) of military action? Let me count the times.
First, there was Afghanistan. We went in, succeeded, and pulled forces away too quickly. Now the Taliban is back in control of large parts of the country.
Then there was Iraq, a threat on which he delivered—which has become one of the United States' most disastrous military decisions in our nation's history.
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Then there was inexcusably loose use of the term World War III. This past May in a cable TV interview, he likened his own "war on terror" to the
"first counterattack to World War III."Fine language for commentators who don't carry the title of commander in chief, but threatening language when used by those who do.
Now there's Cuba. Bush's talk of democratic regime change after aging dictator Fidel Castro leaves office has once again had the diplomatic effect of handing a loaded weapon to his nemesis. He says Cubans "have the power to change their country," but the administration says that that's not meant as a call for armed rebellion.
Memo to White House press office: Anytime you have to clarify a statement as "not meaning to be a call for armed rebellion," it's too late. The saber rattling has already taken place. And it's getting really old, really fast.