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Hurricane Flossie could affect the U.S. next week.

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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:18 PM
Original message
Hurricane Flossie could affect the U.S. next week.
What? Hawaii is part of the United States.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP09/refresh/EP0907W5_sm2+gif/144036W_sm.gif


Sorry if I scared anyone in Florida, but the USAF is planning on flying into this system. I can't remember that last time they flew into a Pacific system.
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hurricane....FLOSSIE?
They are so running out of names. :rofl:
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. A dentist probably requested it.
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. It sounds too much like a nickname * would think up
Hey Flossie, heh heh. See, I call ya Flossie cuz... uh... cuz ya use floss. heh heh heh.
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GoddessOfGuinness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Here's hoping it turns out tobe a lamb...
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meegbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. I knew a girl named Flossie growing up ...
a friend dated her for a while. Have to say I never thought I'd come across that name again.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. But we have a wider diversity of first names than ever before, don't we?
Perhaps they're not considering all of them. Hmm?
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Squatch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. Whew...for a second I thought you said "US"
It's only Hawaii, so we're good.
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youngdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. I hope we aren't paying anyone a lot for these names.
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soleft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hope it doesn't hurt the set of the Losties
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BOSSHOG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:30 PM
Response to Original message
6. Your headline did scare this Mississippi Resident
The hair stands up on the back of my neck when I even hear that word.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
7. Iniki?
That was a while back ...thankfully!
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
10. Open wide and grin!
You're about to get Flossied!
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
13. We are? When did that happen?
Oh, that would explain why next Friday is Statehood Day (a state holiday), I guess. :-)

As to Flossie, it is a minimal hurricane, expected to be a tropical storm when it passes by in the middle of next week:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/TCDEP4

SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE
FLOSSIE REMAINS OVER SSTS GREATER THAN 27 CELSIUS. SSTS ALONG THE
FORECAST TRACK DECLINE THEREAFTER...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST BEYOND 36-48 HOURS. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD...AN INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC
ENVIRONMENT...ESPECIALLY INDICATED BY THE EUROPEAN MODEL...AND
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD INDUCE A CONTINUED WEAKENING
TREND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS ADJUSTED UPWARD TO REFLECT THE
CURRENT INTENSITY TREND...AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE
SHIPS...ICON...SUPER-ENSEMBLE...AND THE LGE MODELS.

FLOSSIE IS MOVING AT 275/12...WITHIN THE DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AROUND A
RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE MAJORITY OF THE
GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST A PERSISTENT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK...SOUTH
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE GFDL...
HOWEVER...INDICATES A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BEYOND 24
HOURS...WHICH PLACES THE SYSTEM JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND ON DAY 5. ALTHOUGH THE GFDL SOLUTION CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...LESS EMPHASIS IS PLACED ON IT FOR NOW...BECAUSE A RIGHT OF
TRACK BIAS HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED IN PREVIOUS GFDL FORECASTS FOR
FLOSSIE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE
GLOBAL MODELS AND IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE
AFTER THE 72 HOUR PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/1500Z 12.7N 136.0W 65 KT
12HR VT 11/0000Z 12.8N 137.9W 65 KT
24HR VT 11/1200Z 13.1N 140.3W 70 KT
36HR VT 12/0000Z 13.5N 142.5W 70 KT
48HR VT 12/1200Z 13.9N 144.7W 65 KT
72HR VT 13/1200Z 14.9N 149.7W 60 KT
96HR VT 14/1200Z 16.5N 155.0W 55 KT
120HR VT 15/1200Z 18.0N 159.0W 45 KT


(for reference, this post originates from lat. 21.3N long. 157.8W)
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ProudToBeBlueInRhody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 02:15 PM
Response to Original message
14. Flossie
Sounds like some twisted character from the Simpsons or South Park advocating dental care.
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
15. Dvorak numbers support a 77 kt system (89 mph)
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ellenfl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-10-07 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
16. i knew it wasn't florida because that name is not on our list. eom
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-11-07 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
17. Flossie now a Category 4 hurricane
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