Poppy famously has not offered advice or challenged Junior's shocking and awful Iraq adventure, from its planning to execution... and much ink has been spilled calling Iraq the offspring of Junior's Oedipal angst; the entire trajectory of his life an effort to beat his Dad at
something.What hasn't been analyzed as thoroughly is Poppy's motivation: WHY knowing as he did that invading Iraq would blow that country wide open (and he DID know it; he and his circle- even CHENEY-- were quoted in the 90's as saying the risk and costs of 'gong to Baghdad' would have been too great), you have to wonder WHY Poppy didn't try an intervention of sorts, to stop Junior, or at least EDUCATE him as to what he was getting this country into.
Junior did not know there were Sunnis and Shi'ites in Iraq, or what they were, 3 months prior to the Iraq invasion, according to citations in Peter Galbraith's book "The End of Iraq". Knowing the potential for civil war to ignite there and the history of conflict between the sects, WHY didn't Poppy try to discuss ANY of this with Junior?
Were all the American and Iraqi lives Poppy KNEW would be lost not worth the risk of pissing off his spoiled little prince? Why, oh why did Poppy say NOTHING?
One unfortunate thought occurred to me. Junior's epic failure has elevated his Father's presidency, vindicated his 'controversial' decision to leave Saddam in power. Poppy is smart enough to figure out that his son's decision to 'go to Baghdad' and its tragic consequences would elevate his decision not to do so, and elevate his presidency in history. So did Poppy (subconsciously) want Junior fuck-up? And is that an explanation for why he has been so damned passive about trying to influence his son when it would have made a difference? Did Poppy need to be the better man in the history books?
More: is Poppy subconsciously pissed that he was a one-termer and his son is a two-termer, knowing that he is the more accomplished of the two?
OK, this is armchair psychoanalysis, and it's not my field. But the whole saga has been more tragic and complex than any work of fiction-- even more than "Three Shakespeares". And, for the record, I don't believe anything that Poppy would have said or done could have stopped his little monster. But at least he could have TRIED.