Amidst all of the hand wringing about the possibility that Bush has received a "bounce" in the polls of 1-3% points (his bounces never last, btw), some of you are losing sight of the long run big picture. All Democrats have to do is draw even with him on the "handle terrorism" question: the public perception that Democrats are up to the job of facing up to the terrorist threat in the world. And it would seem that over the long run, Democrats are almost there. For a period of time during the Dubai ports flap, I would even say that Democrats had the advantage for awhile. At any rate, if you look at the numbers here from yesterday's CBS Poll, you'll see that some real progress has been made, and that Bush and the GOP are no longer invincible on the terrorism issue. Since Democrats have the public opinion issue advantage on every other issue, including Iraq, all they need to do is draw even with Republicans/Bush on measurements of public confidence in the party's ability to handle terrorism. They are almost there.
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/20060919_poll_results_sub.pdfDo you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the campaign against terrorism?
December 2001 90% Approve, 6% Disapprove
September 2002 71% Approve, 21% Disapprove
December 2003 68% Approve, 26% Disapprove
November 2004 59% Approve, 37% Disapprove
December 2005, 48% Approve, 45% Disapprove
September 2006, 54% Approve, 40% Disapprove
The news is even more promising when voters are asked which party they trust more on the terrorism issue:
(Question #43)
Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions when it comes to dealing with terrorism?
January 2002 57% Republicans, 15% Democrats
March 2003 45% Republicans, 21% Democrats
July 2004 45% Republicans, 37% Democrats
December 2005 42% Republicans, 31% Democrats
September 2006 42% Republicans, 37% Democrats