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Anyone have a count on which seats we're likely to win?

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Hamlette Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:41 PM
Original message
Anyone have a count on which seats we're likely to win?
http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/blog/electioncentral/2006/sep/18/new_polls_dems_widen_leads_in_three_key_senate_races


This shows we have a comfortable lead in RI, MT, and OH. We're also gonna make Ricky cry in PA. That's only 4. Am I missing one? Two maybe?

I think MO and VA are too close to call.

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Midlodemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. I think we're gonna pull it out in VA.
Especially after Allen's disgraceful showing on MTP yesterday.

At least, I hope so. *fingers crossed*
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Bluzmann57 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:48 PM
Response to Original message
2. In a House race, I think Braley will win
Iowa First District. The last DM Register poll, yesterday, had Braley up by something like 8 points. Of course, the Register does not get published in the First District. But I think we may pull this one off. Nussle is running (and hopefully losing) for Governor, thus vacating the seat.
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Debi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:49 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Go Braley!!
Go Iowa!!

:bounce:

www.brucebraley.com
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Nimrod2005 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:54 PM
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4. I thought Ford was leading in TN?
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. The Senate has these races in play.
Edited on Mon Sep-18-06 04:00 PM by longship
PA, RI, OH, MT -- which we expect to gain.

TN, VA, MO -- which are very close, can expect some action on a couple of them.

AZ -- Dem Senate candidate Pederson is working hard against Repuke incumbent Kyl. People are not liking Repukes in AZ these days. Governor Napolitano is going to breeze to reelection. Kyl's numbers are steady, but that may change. AZ-5 is in play, where mealy-mouthed Repuke J.D. Hayworth is having problems with Dem opponent Harry Mitchell. AZ-8 is in play, with Dem Gabrielle Giffords giving Repuke Randy Graf fits. AZ is a volatile place for Repukes. Kyl could possibly become a casualty to the political environment there. This is *the* race to keep an eye on.

If Dems can turn the corner between now and November, we could get all of these seats however, it's not likely at this time.

Maximum 8 seats. I'd say six are realistically possible.
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Monkeyman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
6. Duckworth over Roskim
She pulling a head and not looking back
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lpbk2713 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
7. I love the Sept 15 Harris approval poll re Boosh .....



Approve / 24%

Disaprove / 73%


Link: http://www.electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/polltracker


Three out of four respondents fail to see the Emperor's new clothes.




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Hamlette Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-18-06 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. must be a typo
if you read the link, the poll is 38 to 61%

Can't find where it says 24 - 73 at the link to the poll.
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