CT House Seats -- Gains are hard to read?

[longship]

Many things in CT might depend on Lamont and Lieberman this election but the following seats are competitive.

CT-2 -- Incumbent Repuke Rob Simmons v. Dem Joe Courtney. Courtney is raising some money but only at 1/2 the rate of Simmons. However, this is the most liberal district nationwide held by a Repuke. It's gonna be close, but in 2006, that might not help Simmons.

CT-4 -- Incumbent Repuke Chris Shays v. Dem Diane Farrell. A rematch of their 2004 contest, which was fairly close. Shays is fairly progressive so this may be tough going for Farrell. Again, the national demeanor may play into the results. Many are predicting a Shays loss, but it's going to be close again.

CT-5 -- Incumbent Repuke Nancy Johnson v. Dem Chris Murphy. Why does such a strong Democratic state have so damned many Repukes in office? This one's close but many have it staying in Repuke hands.

Now, all things could change if Lamont starts tightening his race against Boltin' Joe. If Lamont wins against Lieberman, we may see three more House seats in CT. Otherwise, it'll likely be fewer. I'll say two, but who knows what the Lieberman factor will be here.

I do not believe any polls about Connecticut. Lieberman's run is going to screw up everything. But if Lamont gains, that may change.

[NewJeffCT]

1. CT-2 is NOT a liberal district

It may be blue, but it is heavy on blue collar conservative Dems.