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Harold Ford Jr. Leads Bob Corker In New Survey USA Poll

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cynatnite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 06:13 PM
Original message
Harold Ford Jr. Leads Bob Corker In New Survey USA Poll
Well folks, we have a new leader in this United States Senate race and his name is Congressman Harold Ford Jr.

It looks as though the Congressman's solutions oriented campaign is resonating with people all around Tennessee as he has surged ahead of Bob Corker in the new Survey USA poll:

From Survey USA:

Tennessee voters will also elect a United States Senator. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Corker? Democrat Harold Ford Jr.? Or some other candidate?

45% Corker (R)
48% Ford (D)
1% Other
6% Undecided

Black Turnout May Decide Fierce Senate Fight Between Corker and Ford: In an election for United States Senator from Tennessee today, 9/12/06, Democrat Harold Ford, Jr. and Republican Bob Corker are locked in a fierce fight, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WBIR-TV Knoxville. 8 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Ford gets 48% and Corker gets 45%. The outcome is within the poll's 4.0% margin of sampling error. Ford gets 85% of Democrat votes. Corker gets 81% of Republican votes. Independents prefer Ford, 53% to 40%. Black turnout is critical to the outcome of this contest. Corker leads by 5 among whites, who make up 86% of TN Likely Voters in SurveyUSA's turnout model. Ford, an African American, leads by 69 points among black voters, who make up 11% of the electorate in SurveyUSA's turnout model. A higher black turnout helps Ford, possibly just enough to elect him. A lower black turnout helps Corker. There is a 17-point Gender Gap: Corker leads by 6 among males. Ford leads by 11 among females. Ford leads in Western TN by 24 points and in Middle TN by 4 points. Corker leads by 9 points in Eastern TN. Ford leads 2:1 in Urban areas. Corker leads by 3 points in the suburbs and by 7 points in rural areas. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Frist is not running for re-election. This open seat is critical for the Democrats' hopes of regaining control of the U.S. Senate.

http://haroldfordjr2006.blogspot.com/

Corker is nothing but a walking repuke talking point. Not that I'm a huge fan of Ford, he is a hell of a lot better than the other guy. This is great news and would be a fabulous win for the Dems and for TN.
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Jack from Charlotte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 06:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'd like to give caution......
When a poll is taken of a contest that includes a Black candidate, poll results are higher for the Black candidate than the actual vote they receive.

Got that?

People SAY they'll vote for the Black candidate more than they actually vote.

So let's hope Congressman Ford is up by 5 or 6 points in the polls come election time.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 06:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. I've died and gone to the America my grandparents believed in!
I'm not sure we're all waking up yet, but at least a majority is getting tired of the nightmare.
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cynatnite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. This gives me hope :)
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