The arrest of unemployed Pakistanis in Britain today on charges that they were conspiring to blow up 10 airliners bound for the US came at a convenient time for the GOP in America, because it puts "TERRA! TERRA! TERRA!" back on the front pages of our newspapers. "Convenient" because "stong on terra" is virtually the ONLY issue that's important to Americans where the GOP holds a slim lead over the Democrats.
Today is the first time since just prior to the election of 2004 that the "terror alert level" has been raised above "yellos". Was this a "plot" by the US and British government to manipulate the next election? I have serious reservations about supporting that point of view for a host of reasons. I believe there's something more obvious, and logical, behind the timing of these things.
Here's my theory, in a nutshell. I believe "the terrorists" want the GOP to remain in control of the government in the USA. Read on, if you're interested, and please remember that criticism makes theories stronger.
I firmly believe that the most effective way to lose at anything, including in war, is to underestimate your enemies. It's far too easy to focus on the morons who believe they'll receive 72 virgins in heaven and willingly blow themselves up. But the indisputable fact is, their leaders don't commit suicide to attack us. These suicide bombers are duped by their leaders into serving as weapons.
Here's some information on some of those leaders: Bin Laden has degrees
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osama_bin_Laden in civil engineering, economics, and public administration. Al-Zawahiri studied behavior, psychology and pharmacology as part of his medical degree
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zawahiri at Cairo University. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (Iranian President) received his Ph.D. in traffic and transportation engineering and planning in 1987
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ahmadinejad. Underestimate them and you will lose.
In 1996 bin Laden issued a fatwa
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fatwa in August, 1996 that was also a declaration of war
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/terrorism/international/fatwa_1996.html against the United STates. That fatwa was followed by another
http://www.ict.org.il/articles/fatwah.htm in Febuary of 1998 calling for "Jihad Against Americans". In this second fatwa he speaks of "three facts that are known to everyone": 1) "the United States has been occupying the lands of Islam in the holiest of places, the Arabian Peninsula...turning its bases in the Peninsula into a spearhead through which to fight the neighboring Muslim peoples", 2) "despite the great devastation inflicted on the Iraqi people by the crusader-Zionist alliance, and despite the huge number of those killed, in excess of 1 million... despite all this, the Americans are once against trying to repeat the horrific massacres,", and 3) "the Americans' aims behind these wars are religious and economic, the aim is also to serve the Jews' petty state and divert attention from its occupation of Jerusalem and murder of Muslims there."
It seems redundant to point out that none of those "three facts" have changed since 1998. But there's more.
In a February 2002 interview
http://archives.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/asiapcf/south/02/05/binladen.transcript/index.html, bin Laden says:
This battle is not between al Qaeda and the U.S. This is a battle of Muslims against the global crusaders. In the past when al Qaeda fought with the mujahedeen, we were told, "Wow, can you defeat the Soviet Union?" The Soviet Union scared the whole world then. NATO used to tremble of fear of the Soviet Union. Where is that power now? We barely remember it. It broke down into many small states and Russia remained.
And he goes on to clarify that the twin towers were destroyed because "The towers are an economic power and not a children's school. Those that were there are men that supported the biggest economic power in the world."
I don't want to violate fair use, here, but you really need the next 5 paragraphs to see where this is all going. In a November 2004 tape
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/meast/11/01/binladen.tape/ bin Laden says:
"We are continuing this policy in bleeding America to the point of bankruptcy. Allah willing, and nothing is too great for Allah," bin Laden said in the transcript.
He said the mujahedeen fighters did the same thing to the Soviet Union in Afghanistan in the 1980s, "using guerrilla warfare and the war of attrition to fight tyrannical superpowers."
"We, alongside the mujahedeen, bled Russia for 10 years until it went bankrupt and was forced to withdraw in defeat," bin Laden said.
He also said al Qaeda has found it "easy for us to provoke and bait this administration."
"All that we have to do is to send two mujahedeen to the furthest point east to raise a piece of cloth on which is written al Qaeda, in order to make generals race there to cause America to suffer human, economic and political losses without their achieving anything of note other than some benefits for their private corporations," bin Laden said.
One more piece of that interview, as cited in USA Today
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2004-11-02-bin-laden-economy_x.htm:Osama bin Laden vowed to bleed America to bankruptcy, according to a full transcript of unaired portions of a videotape released Monday by an Arab television station. The al-Qaeda leader's remarks appeared targeted to the final days of the U.S. presidential campaign in which the struggling economy is a major issue.
Bin Laden boasted in his first appearance in more than a year that for every $1 al-Qaeda has spent on terrorist strikes, it has cost the United States $1 million in economic fallout and military spending, including emergency funding for Iraq and Afghanistan.
So where are we?
In 2002 congress was busy falling all over each other trying to show the American people who was "tougher on terror" by voting to give the President the sole power to invade Iraq. It was shameful that so many Democrats voted for JR114, but given the mood of the country at the time and the recent memory of 911 it was certainly not necessary for our enemies to attack us or issue a "press release" in an attempt to influence our elections. We were still enraged and looking for blood.
In 2004 bin Laden released a statement that spoke directly of the election, and taunted the American people, daring them to re-elect Bush with "...the real loser is you. It is the American people and their economy. the darkness of black gold blurred (Bush's) vision and insight, and he gave priority to private interests over the public interests of America." (From the CNN link
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/meast/11/01/binladen.tape/.) Yeah, like bin Laden isn't smart enough to figure out that him scolding us for accepting Bush is going to make us vote AGAINST him. Sure. And if I tell my kid he can't have any candy he's not going to want some. Uh huh.
Now it's 2006 and the GOP is in trouble. Imagine what the mood of the country would be if we were reading, right now, that TEN planes bound from London to America had been lost. I can hear the spin, now. "What was Bush/what was the GOP supposed to do to prevent them getting on the plane in LONDON???" "How much more proof do you need that these people will keep attacking us???"
True enough. They'll keep attacking us, whenever they can cost us a million dollars for every dollar they spend.
But they know they can't win militarily. Their goal is to bring this country down economically, just like they did the Soviet Union in, ironically enough, Afghanistan. Reagan didn't end the cold war, bin Laden did.
And with a few more years of GOP rule, America will be no threat to radical islamic fundamentalists who really DO want to win this war. Bin Laden and company know that, but then again they have advanced degrees. They can see the damage that the people in Grover Norquist's "drown it in a bathtub" club are doing to America. It's a pity more of us can't.