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Onlooker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:19 PM
Original message
What are we doing wrong?
Lamont, if he wins, is going to win by a small margin. Is this the seachange we're all looking for? Or is this the result of a Democratic Party that has turned Republican? Are we really so weak that we can't even convincingly defeat a DINO in a primary in a fairly liberal state? If this race is a sign of things to come, there's no way the Democrats will make headway come November. This race is very disappointing.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:20 PM
Response to Original message
1. oh please
do you have any idea how hard it is to unseat an incumbent? any idea at all?


Don't bring that whiny shit here.
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Viva_La_Revolution Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #1
18. You said it more kindly than I would have
:thumbsup:


This is a BIG WIN for us. :)
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Strawman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:35 PM
Response to Reply #1
38. Yeah. This happens exactly, umm, almost never
It's a huge fucking deal. More than anything it proves all the cynical insider hacks wrong. The Dean campaign was the first step, this is a leap forward. Now Lamont needs to finish the job and win the general election. The grassroots rose up and took the endorsement of the Democratic party from a man who seemed to believe he was entitled to it and totally unaccountable to them.

I'll be a skeptic tomorrow. Today, change feels possible.
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
2. Find that dark cloud in the silver lining.
Edited on Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM by A-Schwarzenegger
What was the name of that gloomy sad sack in Lil Abner
with the dark cloud over his head all the time?
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
3. 98% of incuments are relected. You know how many win their primaries?
More than 99%. It's hard to beat an incumant. Especially a senator.
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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
15. Exactly...
The fact that this race was even competitive indicated an uprising, and a Lamont win is indeed a sea change.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:25 PM
Response to Reply #3
24. Yep. Kos on Olbermann said 3 incumbents have lost in the primary
in a very long time.
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Iniquitous Bunny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:25 PM
Response to Reply #3
25. Bam!
The odds were so stacked against Lamont and he's doing it. That says a lot.
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jonnyblitz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #3
37. Especially a senator entrenched in the "establishment" who
was once a Vice Presidential candidate.
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DemPopulist Donating Member (446 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
4. You have no sense of perspective
n/t
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
5. i don't think so. I wonder how many of the folks who registered as Dem
for this primary usually vote Republican?

those are the numbers that would change my mind (if the "unaffiliated" were libs to begin with)
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HockeyMom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #5
22. Took me 30 years, and George W. Bush,
to change from an Independent to a Democrat.
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SoFlaJet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
6. you kiddin me?
with this kind of a margin Bush would have called it a landslide...ahem
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quiet.american Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
7. If you're serious, Lamont already has a significant victory.
I'm too tired to get into the why's and wherefore's, but I'm sure there's more discussion already on this on DU.
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Pale Blue Dot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. Are you kidding?
An no-name candidate comes from 30 points behind to beat a 3-term, popular incumbant? What are you smoking? THIS IS HUGE!!!!!!!!!!

We are doing everything RIGHT, for once!!

:woohoo:
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Iniquitous Bunny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #8
28. Isn't that HUGH!!!!111!!! ?
Edited on Tue Aug-08-06 09:30 PM by Iniquitous Bunny
:D
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CountAllVotes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #8
35. yes, results at last!
A real victory for We the People!

Take back America! :patriot:
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. Oy vey
Long-time incumbents never lose. Ever.

This makes anti-war a winning issue.

This will scare the cheese out of every middle-of-the-road asshat Democrat who supported this thing. They'll be scrambling for cover like ducksa in a hailstorm if Lamont wins.

This changes the whole board for '08, and in a good way.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
10. I'm from CT. Let me tell you that Joe is a senior Senator with...
alot of power behind him. He was able to get alot of votes. Just remember, a few months back, Ned was not taken seriously by anyone. Tonight, he might just win the nod to run for this seat as a Democrat.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
11. this is huge
regardless of the margin. Winning against a stacked deck is an accomplishment for sure.
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #11
21. And huge is an understatement
this is massive.
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asthmaticeog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
12. Perfect is the enemy of good.
OK, we may not have a revolution, but remember:

A) this is one state, and a small one at that.

B) the most repellent DINO in the US Senate looks to have been given the shoe.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
13. Against a three term incumbent? Any victory is impressive.
This is just nonsense.
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ruggerson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
14. Try to get familiar with history
There are a only a handful of senators in the last 30 years that have been defeated in a primary, when they are seeking re election.

It almost never occurs.

This is historic, if Ned pulls this out.
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liberalhistorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
16. WTF? Please say you forgot to
put the sarcasm smiley in your post! Lamont was a virtual unknown just a few months ago, and now he's poised to unseat one of the most entrenched incumbents in the senate, which is and always has been damn near impossible to do, and you have the stupidity to call that DISAPPOINTING? Good God, I'd hate to see what you'd consider a victory!
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rurallib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
17. Chimpy won by @1.5% and he declared it a landslide!
It would have been nice to put a huge slapdown on Joementum but beating an incumbent by even a few votes is a HUGE deal.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
19. Thank you for your concern.
It's defeatist, and useless, but thank you for your effort.
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The Velveteen Ocelot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
20. Sigh.
There's always gonna somebody who wants to crap in our cornflakes.

Fact is, Lamont came out of nowhere to challenge an entrenched, well-funded incumbent who had a lot of support from the party establishment. A lot of people didn't even think Lamont would get enough votes at the state convention to qualify to run in this election. So what if he doesn't win by a landslide? It looks like he's about to take down a guy who was once the VP candidate, who ran for President himself, and who was endorsed by Bill Clinton. That's a huge victory, and I'm happy to have it.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
23. This is so full of shit, it doesn't deserve a response!
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
26. Even if he wins by a small margin, it proves that
we can win by a small margin if we turn out like we should. It also says to me that the elections are compromised any way you look at it. Yes, I know these are Democrats voting for Democrats, but hasn't JL been praised a lot by the RW lately? Since he votes their way, they don't mind backing another Zell Miller.
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
27. OMG - this newby is beating a 3!!! term incumbant in the PRIMARY!!!!
This is a HUGE HUGE HUGE story if Lamont holds on and wins.

You are on some serious drugs and have NO idea what you are talking about.
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
29. This is the first major victory for our side in about 10 years.
and you're disappointed?
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Reckon Donating Member (729 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
30. The voters really don't have all the info on Joe like we do... n/t
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
31. You may be witnessing the death of the DLC's stranglehold on the party
The people have awoken - and they have spoken!

:headbang: :headbang: :headbang: :headbang:

Ned Lamont's Unofficial Fight Song
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Onlooker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
32. All I'm saying ...
... is that this race is no sign of a sea change. It's a sign that Democrats are not particularly anti-war, so that message isn't flying. I'm very glad Lamont will most likely win, but you must be kidding if you see this as some sort of watershed. I was hoping for a bigger victory. After all, Lamont was leading in the polls by 11 points not too long ago. Wonder which demographic didn't vote.
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #32
34. ... is give pessimistic negativism a chance.
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Pale Blue Dot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #32
39. BAH HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!
Wow. Just wow.

:woohoo:
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jgundrey Donating Member (19 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
33. Not too surprising.
Don't underestimate the power of incumbency. People don't like change unless something really negative happens with an incumbent. The margins are smaller in Lamont's favor than we'd like. But remember that Lieberman isn't guilty of any real wrongdoing or scandal. That's what it would have taken for a larger margin loss. Keep the faith. People have become so used to corruption that it'll be harder to get them to vote Democratic. It'll take some sudden, Watergate-like scandals to shake loose a sea change.
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OPERATIONMINDCRIME Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
36. "Are we really so weak"
Please don't include me in the weak defeatist mentality of a loser department.

Thanks.
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Melynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:37 PM
Response to Original message
40. Too negative
This is a hugh victory. Bush can't be happy that his war buddy lost the election.
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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 09:40 PM
Response to Original message
41. Achieving the impossible is not doing wrong.
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carpetbagger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 10:01 PM
Response to Original message
42. Nothing. You don't beat a sitting senator by a big margin.
Look at the 2002 NH GOP primary. Bob Smith lost by less than 10 percent.

Bob Smith actually left the GOP for part of his term.
John Sununu had a well-known family name.
John Sununu was a professional politician, and already represented half of the state in the House.
The GOP establishment came out big time for Sununu.

Still, no real big margin.
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