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Larry O'Donnell on Franken: LaMont will win "handily"!!

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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 01:54 PM
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Larry O'Donnell on Franken: LaMont will win "handily"!!
Sorry if this has already been posted, but Larry says Ned's gonna win, because:

1. the polls... Larry thinks it's possible that Quinnipiac adjusted their sample in the latest poll for likely voters and this benefitted Lieberthug. Larry respects Quinnipiac and makes no suggestion they are trying to help Lieberthug, just looking for a more accurate result. Also Larry points out that the "swing" to Lieberthug may be nothing more than a margin of error blip.

2. Incumbents can't win if they don't poll at 50% or better and Lieberthgug has not done so.

3. All the excitement and movement is on LaMont's side... he will get most of the votes from new registrations.

Larry sounded pretty definitive on this.

Larry also says McKinney's gonna lose for sure.
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grytpype Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 02:02 PM
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1. "Incumbents can't win if they don't poll at 50% or better" ???
I wish. Then Duhbya would have lost in 04.
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Jack from Charlotte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-08-06 02:05 PM
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2. FWIW, I think Larry is correct......
Lamont supporters want the lever to make a noise when it's pulled.... Like WAM... take that! That is, they can't wait to get to the polls. Lieb's people ain't too fired up. How could they be?

It's all about getting the vote out.

And the national lesson of Lamonet wacks Lieb by 10 points is......? Incumbents.... your ass is in trouble. (See 1994)
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