Crude math shows more Democratic voters than Republicans (Georgia Primary)

[Dawgs]

Is this a good sign for November, or am I way off base here?

Governor - Dem Primary
Georgia 3101 of 3147 Precincts Reporting - 98.54%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name Votes Pct
Taylor , Mark 240,322 51.54
Cox , Cathy 205,597 44.09
Bolton , Bill 10,239 2.20
McCarley , Mac 10,104 2.17
TOTAL VOTES --- 466,262

Governor - GOP Primary
Georgia 3101 of 3147 Precincts Reporting - 98.54%
Name Votes Pct
Perdue , Sonny (i) 364,931 88.39
McBerry , Ray 47,920 11.61
TOTAL VOTES --- 412,851

That's 53% to 47% Democrats. That might not sound like much, but for a state like Georgia it says a lot. Also, from what I've read here on DU, many Democrats switched to vote against Ralph Reed.

More Comparisons (More Republicans than Democrats voted in 02 than 06)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Governer 2006 Primary
Democrat % Turnout - 53.04% -- Republican % Turnout - 46.96%
Governer 2002 Primary
Democrat % Turnout - 45.95% -- Republican % Turnout - 54.05%

Lt. Governer 2006 Primary
Democrat % Turnout - 51.92% -- Republican % Turnout - 48.08%
Lt. Governer 2002 Primary
Democrat % Turnout - 47.89% -- Republican % Turnout - 52.11%

Senate 2002 Primary
Democrat % Turnout - 48.05% -- Republican % Turnout - 51.95%

Good sign or not?

[napi21]

1. I did that quick math last night too! I'm not sure we can deduce much

though. I really still believe turnout is the determining factor.

I appears to me that there have been a lot of Dems move to Ga which has evened out the difference in the # of Dems & Pubs, but most of those who relocated here live in or near one of the few large cities. Rural Ga. is still VERY RED!

[Freddie Stubbs]

2. Depends on how those Democrats vote in November

There are a lot of conservative Democrats in the south. The have been registered Democrats all fo their lives, but have been voting more and more for Republicans in recent years. Take a look at the Florida panhandle for example. Almost every county has a Democratic majority, yet they are the reddest in the state.

[dsc]

3. We had a competative primary

and they didn't. Similary in 2002 they had a competative primary and we didn't. I think primary turnout isn't going to be a good indicator.