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_TJ_ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 12:24 PM
Original message
The US may ALREADY be bankrupt !
US 'could be going bankrupt'
By Edmund Conway, Economics Editor
(Filed: 14/07/2006)

The United States is heading for bankruptcy, according to
an extraordinary paper published by one of the key members
of the country's central bank.

A ballooning budget deficit and a pensions and welfare
timebomb could send the economic superpower into insolvency,
according to research by Professor Laurence Kotlikoff for the
Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, a leading constituent of
the US Federal Reserve.

Prof Kotlikoff said that, by some measures, the US is already
bankrupt. "To paraphrase the Oxford English Dictionary, is the
United States at the end of its resources, exhausted, stripped
bare, destitute, bereft, wanting in property, or wrecked in
consequence of failure to pay its creditors," he asked.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2006/07/14/cnusa14.xml&menuId=242&sSheet=/money/2006/07/14/ixcity.html
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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 12:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. Dunno whether to say
"D-uh" or "D-oh."
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Yupster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
28. You can't go bankrupt
when you have the ability to print all the money you want.

The worst that can happen is your currency becomes horribly inflated which is bad enough.
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Viva_La_Revolution Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:49 AM
Response to Reply #1
34. beat me too it!
or
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Botany Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 12:26 PM
Response to Original message
2. That was the goal of Grover & company


BTW spending $250 million per day in Iraq doesn't help either.
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_TJ_ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. That makes me sad
There are so many poor and hungry people in the world
and the US is spending $250 million every day to kill
people in one of the poorest countries in the world. :-(

And yet GWB calls himself a Christian?

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Botany Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. and all the time letting bin Laden get away, ......
.... letting the Taliban back into power in Afghanistan, turning Iraq into
a Shi ite Theocracy which will be the host for anti western terrorists, and
building permeant bases for a neo con wet dream.
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Lost-in-FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
5. See the symtoms
The biggest US ARMY post, Fort Hood if currently facing an uncertain future. If they are having problems paying for defense, that's bad news.

I heard about this yesterday in the Randi Rhodes show. Someone called saying that many employees were sent home cause the post could not pay the electricity bill. That's a real shame.

http://www.kdhnews.com/docs/daily/headlines.aspx?ad=0&sid=10741

Behind the politics, memos and number crunching are 800 contract employees at Fort Hood who say they are facing each day with the question: Is today the day the ax falls on me?

"Layoffs have been happening since the first of May – all month long," said one contractor, who spoke on condition of anonymity. Fearing her job could be cut even sooner, she also declined to allow a description of her work to be printed.

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tanyev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. Thanks for posting that. I looked for something yesterday and
couldn't find it. I'm sure that area staunchly supports GWB and the Republican party. I'm dying to know what the mood is like there now.
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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:22 PM
Response to Reply #5
39. Another dumb question. *ss is trying to destroy all social programs
- is he also trying to destroy the military so that they can privatize it? Mercenaries to protect corporations?
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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
6. So what happens here? What do we have to hand over to the
people we owe? What court deals with International Bankruptcy? How does this impact the US? Where do we go from here? I know what happens with personal bankruptcy - how does national differ?
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HamdenRice Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. There is no international bankruptcy -- it's handled through currency
One of the big problems of international economics is that there is no such thing as national bankruptcy. It is handled through the currency markets. What happen is that because we have so much debt and dollars out of the country, eventually people become wary of it and it loses value. That's why everyone is freaking out over the possible collapse of the dollar.

If the value of the dollar collapses, things in the US appear very cheap to people holding yen or euros. So the Japanese go on a shopping spree buying up US assets. That's what happened under Reagan and Poppy Bush I. Although the dollar did not collapse, the Japanese held so much of it that they started buying up Manhattan real estate, hollywood companies and midwestern auto plants.

Also government that are really strapped just welch out on some of their obligations. For example, if worse came to worse, the government could simply abolish medicaid and medicare. Heath care financial time bomb problem solved.
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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. God help us.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:54 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Yes. China holds the most interest at this point don't they?
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Yupster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #12
27. No
not even close.
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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 10:57 PM
Response to Reply #12
30. No, we do
US Citizens hold by far the majority of the public debt, then US State governments, then US corporations, then foreign corporations.

Check out The Treasury Bulletin for all the info you could ever want, and much, much more info than you could ever want, on the subject.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #9
19. Russia suffered the same fate after the collapse of communism
The economy was simply dismembered by foreign groups buying up everything, often through crooked ways.
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bobbolink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 02:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
17. What happens here is that you get rid of all the poor folk.
Let 'em die miserable deaths. Without the Dems speaking up, of course.

Then, go after the muddleclass.

"First they came for the Jews, but I wasn't Jewish, so I didn't speak up"


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SensibleAmerican Donating Member (460 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:59 AM
Response to Reply #6
36. We're not going to go bankrupt
The FCB will never let it happen.
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serryjw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
7. The question of the century? WHY
do I have to go to a UK website to read this shit?
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_TJ_ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Maybe this is too SCARY for the US media
It sure as hell scares me - and I'm not even American ;-)
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serryjw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 01:43 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Actually It has been written
about quit a bit in the last 4 years. You don't have to be a economist to figure the Baby Boomers are going to bankrupt the system, especially Medicare. We can raise the SS to 70, BUT what do we do when all the BB need their triple bypass after a lifetime of McD's?. Have you been to America? Half of the BB eat like Bill Clinton.The wars and *'s tax cut only made the situation dire.
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 02:38 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. So, it's all the Boomers' fault?
No, you don't have to be an economist to figure the Baby Boomers are going to bankrupt the system. There's lots of people other than economists who are falling for the GOP's arguments that it is a fine idea to gut SS and our other social programs.

I suppose it would be convenient if all of us Boomers would be so polite as to die quietly, and the sooner the better, right? Sure has been handy for everybody, though, when we Boomers paid shitloads of taxes our whole lives, including and especially extra payroll taxes to build up the SS trust fund.

How long did it take you to come up with that 'solution' of raising the SS to 70? Not long I suppose, because it's straight from the GOP playbook. Maybe 'we' can do that and maybe 'we' can't, but if 'we' do, I for one will become a one-issue voter who will oppose anyone and everyone who did anything at all to even remotely support such a measure.

There is no SS 'chrisis'. There is a general fund chrisis, intentionally created by The Decider, mainly with his tax cuts for the wealthy elite. And now, according to plan, they argue that we can't afford SS. I'm amazed at how many people continue to fall for this scam.
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serryjw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. I don't come on DU
to be attacked, especially when I was not responding to you. You obviously, didn't read the article. Why can't people disagree nicely. Sorry, I'm tired of the attacks that say nothing meaningful, you sound like a republican...another hits my IGNORE, BYE!
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. OK I guess I'm on your ignore list
But in case I am not, please note I did not attack you personally; I did, however, attack your position. And despite your claim to the contrary, I believe I offered some meaningful points in doing so. I am disappointed that you are not willing to try to defend your position. Valuable communication often ensues in cases like this, if debate is fairly conducted.
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davekriss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #11
23. Your attribution of cause is wrong
Edited on Sat Jul-15-06 03:34 PM by davekriss
The babyboomers will not be the cause of "bankrupting the system". That is entirely due to decisions by this Republican Presidency, Republican Senate, and Republican House to tax the top tiers of our society trillions of dollars less than under the tax laws in place at the end of the Clinton administration. Republican policy decisions are what is bankrupting America.

If U.S. demographics and economy continue to grow at the historical rates seen over the last 100 years, then EVEN IF NOTHING IS DONE -- and as long as Treasury honors the Treasury Bonds held by the Social Security Trust Fund -- then social security benefits can be paid at current rates through 2052, followed by a reduction to 75% of current benefits thereafter.

Social security and medicare are red herrings of the Right and will be used to hide the class-based transfer of wealth that began under Reagan and accelerated under GWB.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
14. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Jim Warren Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:02 PM
Response to Original message
18. Worth a thousand words
Edited on Sat Jul-15-06 03:37 PM by Jim Warren
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davekriss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #18
24. Thank you Jim Warren (eom)
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DFLer4edu Donating Member (675 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
20. The thinking in this article is flawed in many ways
Edited on Sat Jul-15-06 03:58 PM by DFLer4edu
Yes the US governments financial situation is not looking so good, but this article puts it way out of proportion. The real point is that to meet our social obligations we need to pay higher taxes. The article said that we would have to double tax rates to pay for our obligations. This is an exaggeration, in that it looks at the problem as evidence of a need for higher taxes, not a more just tax system. Both are needed, but a just tax system would mean that doubling across the board would by no means be necessary. Nonetheless, doubling across the board would put US tax rates in line with European ones. It's Europe that's bankrupt; their social obligations far outstrip ours, their taxes are already high, and they do not have a high enough birthrate to sustain the workforce which pays the taxes. The real point isn't that the US government is bankrupt, but that republican fiscal policy is.
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:30 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Very well stated, DFLer4edu (EOM)
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Jim Warren Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:44 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. Great articulation
and you make great points. This is a strong message that needs to get out.

"The real point isn't that the US government is bankrupt, but that republican fiscal policy is."

Combined with runaway military spending/corporate cronyism for an illegal war.
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HamdenRice Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 03:39 PM
Response to Original message
25. Here's the solution to the entire financial "crisis"
Stop the war. Appropriate $30 billion per year for the Pentagon and intelligence agencies and not a penny more.

Financial crisis solved.
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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
29. What do you mean MAY? n/t
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Lorien Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-15-06 11:19 PM
Response to Original message
31. Ah yes, the "personal accountability party" has done it's job again
these are the same idiots that squeal "quit your whining and self pity and get to work"! whenever the non wealthy are working three jobs and STILL can't pay the bills. "Learn to live within your means" the "party of responsibility" barks-all the while spending our tax money like drunken delusional oxycontin addicts. Somehow, I'm not surprised that they are utterly destroying the country they claim to "love" so much. :eyes:
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OneBlueSky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:25 AM
Response to Original message
32. let's not forget the companion moral bankruptcy . . . n/t
.
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Justice Is Comin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
33. And republicans head for the hills when you
talk about pay-go. Nope don't want any part of that pay your bills stuff.
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Voltaire99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 02:37 AM
Response to Original message
35. Should put a crimp in imperialism, eh?
Funny how a depressed dollar just won't buy as many invasions.
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tbyg52 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #35
40. Not necessarily....
They were buying bread with wheelbarrows full of money in Germany just before WWII, were they not?
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Voltaire99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #40
42. Good point
No, not necessarily at all.

Of course, Czechoslovakia was much closer to Germany than Tehran is to Fort Bragg. But cost will never fully deter U.S. imperialism; our leaders are willing to see Americans live under bridges rather than shortchange the Pentagon.
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progressoid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
37. Freepers response: "It's because of all of those social programs."
and Clinton's Penis.
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #37
38. Yeah, but they like to call them "entitlement programs"
That's supposed to sound dirty, as if you're evil if you think you're entitled to anything. Unless you're a billionaire, then that's a good attitude. The Estate Tax comes quickly to mind here. They also like to refer to New Deal social programs as "big government". They're talking about eliminating social programs when they say they want to reduce the size of the evil "big government". Military spending, kind of like entitlements for billionaires, doesn't count.
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sweetheart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
41. Euphemisms for a revolution
"bankrupt" means a revolution, no holds barred. The people will have to sell out
to the bankers, and they'll take their pound of flesh.
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samsingh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 10:08 PM
Response to Original message
43. of course this is reorted in the foreign media
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