Forum: Rumsfeld's folly: National Missile Defense
Sunday, January 14, 2001
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Rumsfeld fulfilled his role perfectly, concluding that the intelligence estimate report was incorrect and strongly supporting the proposed National Missile Defense program. With this appointment, it is clear that President-elect George W. Bush intends to fulfill his campaign promise to deploy NMD as quickly as possible.
Unfortunately, funding this multibillion-dollar boondoggle - a gilded jobs program for the defense industry - will not serve to make Americans safer.
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NMD is a system of "exoatmospheric kill vehicles" (EKVs) that are launched into space by conventional ballistic missiles upon the detection of any suspicious missile activity. Guided by several types of onboard, ground-based and satellite-based detectors, the EKVs are supposed to seek and destroy any enemy missiles by directly impacting them in flight (called "hitting a bullet with a bullet"). The whole process is to be monitored by the North American Aerospace Defense Command in Colorado and is estimated to cost between $30 billion and $60 billion to build and maintain.
The NMD program is a direct descendant of the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI, or better known as Star Wars). Sprung from the fevered imagination of Edward Teller and his cronies at Lawrence Livermore Laboratory and made national policy by Ronald Reagan in 1983, the idea was to orbit giant satellites in space equipped with nuclear bombs and lasers. Enemy missiles were to be shot down by an intense X-ray beam, powered by a nuclear explosion and lasting only for an instant before the entire satellite was annihilated.
It was not until 1993 - and $30 billion later - that the project was deemed unworkable. Its successor was the equally hare-brained idea of orbiting hundreds of "brilliant pebbles" that would intercept and destroy incoming missiles by smashing into them. This program was justifiably renamed "loose marbles" by at least one senator.
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In the same address that announced the White House decision, Clinton said, "It would be folly to base the defense of our nation solely on a strategy of waiting until missiles are in the air, and then trying to shoot them down."
One can go further than this and say that it will be technologically impossible to reliably shoot them down for the foreseeable future, especially if simple countermeasures are taken, and that insisting on deploying any flawed system will needlessly put millions of Americans at a heightened risk of nuclear attack.
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http://www.post-gazette.com/forum/20010114edswan9.asp BTW: I called my friend last week and his comment was "What a hoot. Anyone who thinks we would try this is not informed on the issue."