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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 11:56 AM Original message |
Why were Zogby polls so different from election results in IL 6? |
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skipos (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:00 PM Response to Original message |
1. If it was one of their "interactive"polls, those tend to be pretty irratic. nt |
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OnTheOtherHand (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:31 PM Response to Reply #1 |
8. actually, apparently it wasn't, but... |
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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:35 PM Response to Reply #8 |
9. So was Zogby's Oct. 2 poll off as well? |
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OnTheOtherHand (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:54 PM Response to Reply #9 |
11. why ask me? |
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Teaser (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:00 PM Response to Original message |
2. Because Zogby is smoking metal shavings |
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On the Road (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:06 PM Response to Original message |
3. If Zogby Uses a 1% Confidence Interval, |
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mirandapriestly (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:13 PM Response to Reply #3 |
6. what does that mean?eom |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 01:34 PM Response to Reply #6 |
12. I think he means |
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philb (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 11:31 AM Response to Reply #12 |
40. Do we have any reason to think that "official results" are more accurate than a well designed poll |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 11:51 AM Response to Reply #40 |
42. If they aren't then the "officials" running the elections need to GO! |
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On the Road (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 01:41 PM Response to Reply #6 |
13. It Mean That Polls are Not Exact |
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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:10 PM Response to Original message |
4. Zogby used the same polling methods in all races... |
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diva77 (999 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:13 PM Response to Original message |
5. has Duckworth conceded? |
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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:15 PM Response to Reply #5 |
7. Duckworth conceded at 11 pm on election night... |
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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 12:36 PM Response to Original message |
10. Has anyone heard if Zogby conducted exit polling here? |
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ISUGRADIA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 09:02 PM Response to Original message |
14. The Zogby poll was what is called an outlier compared |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 10:32 PM Response to Reply #14 |
15. Oh? |
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AtLiberty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 10:55 PM Response to Reply #15 |
16. OMG -- you used the "F" word! |
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nicknameless (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Nov-13-06 11:08 PM Response to Reply #15 |
17. Worse than that. (Typo) |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 11:05 AM Response to Reply #17 |
22. Good eyes, nick |
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ISUGRADIA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 07:03 PM Response to Reply #15 |
24. Yes, ignore any data (other polls) that support a pre- |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 08:25 PM Response to Reply #24 |
25. Deleted message |
ISUGRADIA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 08:47 PM Response to Reply #25 |
27. Please ask questions, there are things that stats can be used for |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 08:54 PM Response to Reply #27 |
28. Excellent! |
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ISUGRADIA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 09:03 PM Response to Reply #28 |
29. I'm not sure, I think that info might be on the Secretary of State |
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ISUGRADIA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 09:10 PM Response to Reply #28 |
30. DuPage County uses tabulator scanners and touchscreen |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 10:58 AM Response to Reply #30 |
38. Good info! |
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eridani (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 01:53 AM Response to Original message |
18. These are not EXIT polls |
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Awsi Dooger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 04:43 AM Response to Original message |
19. The 54-40 didn't make much sense |
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OnTheOtherHand (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 06:28 AM Response to Reply #19 |
20. great post, but I'm laughing a bit at one thing |
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Awsi Dooger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 06:00 AM Response to Reply #20 |
35. Ha, let's hope it was dueling IVRs and robocalling |
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Elmer1007 (19 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 09:15 AM Response to Reply #19 |
21. When did Duckworth come out for Gun control.? |
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Awsi Dooger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 05:38 AM Response to Reply #21 |
34. I wasn't familiar with her gun control stance |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 11:38 AM Response to Original message |
23. Human behavior does not always follow rational trajectories |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 08:33 PM Response to Reply #23 |
26. Computers don't always follow rational trajectories |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 09:29 PM Response to Reply #26 |
31. You are asking me to prove a negative |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 10:03 PM Response to Reply #31 |
33. Of course |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 10:11 AM Response to Reply #33 |
36. I take it by your lack of comment there is no video |
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BeFree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 10:55 AM Response to Reply #36 |
37. Video? |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 11:11 AM Response to Reply #37 |
39. There are two kinds of "funny" numbers |
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slackmaster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Nov-14-06 09:32 PM Response to Original message |
32. Funny how Zogby is both praised and condemned on DU |
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philb (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Nov-15-06 11:34 AM Response to Original message |
41. Is anyone auditing the race for undervotes, absentee irregularities, etc.? |
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