Does anyone know of any state-wide analysis of Ohio uncounted votes?

[kiwi_expat]

Have you seen an analysis, anywhere, examining how much of the difference between the Ohio exit polls and the canvass is due to the under/over vote and the rejected provisional ballots? Uncounted votes would include a very high percentage of Kerry votes.

The Miami Herald used such an analysis to show a Gore win in Florida (before the newspaper consortium actually proved it, when they counted the under/over votes). The Herald assumed that vote distribution of the uncounted votes was the same as that for the counted votes for each precinct. It would take a lot of computational grunt to do the analysis nation-wide. But Ohio might be doable.

[Chi]

1. There are at least 6 counties analyzed here...

http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/alpage.htm

It was a prediction of final tally 'if included', NOT an examination between the polls vs the under/over votes as you requested.

So it's not exactly what you ask, nor anywhere near the entire 88 counties.
Though he does give his method, so it could be continued

[kiwi_expat]

2. Thanks, Chi ! That is a great resource for Ohio election researchers.

I had only looked at the Hamilton County Uncounted Votes section, when you mentioned it in another thread. The paper is a VERY useful compendium of fraud/errors/uncounted votes in Ohio - showing the effect on the count.

Cheers!!