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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-19-05 09:07 AM
Original message
THE ODDS
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 09:50 AM by TruthIsAll
At 12:22am on Nov 3, Simon downloaded exit poll data for 47 states.

At the 95% confidence level, the probability of exceeding the MOE in any state is 2.5% or 1 in 40 (one tail of the Normal Distribution).

Sixteen (16) out of the 47 states deviated beyond the MoE from the Exit Poll to the final vote, all to Bush.

The probability that at least N=16 states out of the 47 exceed the MoE is 1.754152E-14 or 1 in 57,007,590,219,880

Prob =1 - BINOMDIST(15,47,.025,TRUE)



N Probability 1 in
1 6.957596E-01 1
2 3.291108E-01 3
3 1.128821E-01 9
4 2.971719E-02 34
5 6.260422E-03 160
6 1.087904E-03 919
7 1.595036E-04 6,269
8 2.007344E-05 49,817
9 2.197779E-06 455,005
10 2.115951E-07 4,726,008
11 1.806943E-08 55,342,090
12 1.378407E-09 725,475,161
13 9.448209E-11 10,584,016,637
14 5.848211E-12 170,992,468,197
15 3.288481E-13 3,040,918,046,840
16 1.754152E-14 57,007,590,219,880
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Botany Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-19-05 09:11 AM
Response to Original message
1. U DAAA MAN!
Stay on this ......
At least I know their is one person who knows in his
bones that the election was stolen.
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In Truth We Trust Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-19-05 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
2. Kick- I do not concede either!
Thanks TIA
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indepat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-19-05 09:49 AM
Response to Original message
3. Much easier to accept the OJ jury decision than the election results as
certified? Why is this not a continuing big story in the MSM every day?
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