These voting anomalies should all be investigated and rectified, even though they probably won't turn the election. As for the exit-polling inaccuracies (which were posted on a now-archived
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2617461#">thread), I wrote an analysis on them on another site that I'll copy and paste here. They can't be relied on to support fraud:
Excuse me for being skeptical about this information, but according to pre-election polls New Hampshire was neck-and-neck between Bush and Kerry, and then all of a sudden exit polls put Kerry ahead 17 points??? Who is taking these polls that they could be so horribly off when the election turned out exactly as expected?
I think the more likely explanation is that the exit pollers were concentrating on young people and minorities, two very important demographics in this election who went mostly to Kerry. Exit pollers weren't concerned with being accurate overall, just within certain key demographics. As for the rest of the states, here is a list of all swing states that used electronic balloting comparing exit-polls, pre-election polls (according to USA Today), and actual results: (Note that USA Today issued caveats about the divergent results of polls in PA, OH, and especially Florida, where the most recent poll was the first ever to put Kerry in the lead,
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/battlegrounds2004/flash.htm)
+ is an error toward the winner
- is an error toward the loser
Wisconsin:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 50 49 -
Pre-election Polls: 45 48 -4
Exit Polling: 52 47 +4
Pennsylvania:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 51 49 -
Pre-election Polls: 46 50 -6
Exit Polling: 53 46 +5
Ohio:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 49 51 -
Pre-election Polls: 50 46 -6
Exit Polling: 51 49 -4
Florida:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 47 52 -
Pre-election Polls: 49 46 -8
Exit Polling: 50 49 -6
Minnesota:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 51 48 -
Pre-election Polls: 52 44 +5
Exit Polling: 54 44 +7
New Hampshire:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 50 49 -
Pre-election Polls: 49 48 0
Exit Polling: 58 41 +16
North Carolina:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 43 56 -
Pre-election Polls: 43 52 -4
Exit Polling: 48 52 -9
Colorado:
Kerry Bush Accuracy
Actual Results: 46 52 -
Pre-election Polls: 47 48 -5
Exit Polling: 46 53 +1
Couple more things to notice: All exit polls in eastern swing states favored Kerry more than the final results, while all exit polls in western swing states (including Colorado with electronic balloting) were more or less accurate, with the rift occurring in the Midwest. Could it be that a demographic got more attention in the east but was not a major factor in the west?
Also, note that the exit polls were taken at 2:00 PM and 4:00 PM, while voting continued for hours after the second exit poll. Now look at the momentum of the first-to-second exit poll and estimate where you think an 8:00 exit poll would have ended up:
Pennsylvania: Bush gained 13 points in two hours in the exit polls. The 2:00 figure was horribly wrong, skewing the 4:00 figure toward Kerry. Another couple hours might have made this poll accurate.
Ohio and Florida: Bush gained 2 points between 2:00 and 4:00, which would likely have put an 8:00 exit poll well within the margin of error.
Minnesota: Another terribly inaccurate 2:00 exit poll skews the 4:00 exit poll. Bush gained 8 points in two hours, so could have easily gained another 7 points in the last 4 or 5 hours.
Now in the remaining four states, pre-election polls show that New Hampshire's exit-poll was just about useless, and North Carolina's and Wisconsin's exit poll were several points off toward Kerry. (Also note the heavy voting in Milwaukee of unregistered voters who registered at the polls. This vote went heavily toward Kerry and likely won him the state. The pre-election polls were as accurate as possible not factoring in this unexpected Kerry-vote.) Put together with an accurate exit-poll in Colorado and this exit-polling data doesn’t support voter fraud in electronic voting states at all.
Better off just investigating the isolated incidents first before trying to connect them abroad.
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